3 Favorites Vegas Expects to Bounce Back in NFL Week 2
By Ben Heisler
Week 1 might as well have had a cape and a catchy theme song because it was full on "Underdog" season.
Favorites went just 4-12 against the spread to kick off the season, and underdogs finished over .500 in straight-up bets in Week 1 at 9-7.
Favorites dropping like flies helped our team go 4-0 in our Week 1 straight-up upset picks of the week, as we head into Week 2 hoping for some more good luck.
Vegas, however, isn't too concerned with several favorites on the board, including these three favored teams from last week that oddsmakers at WynnBET expect to bounce back.
Buffalo Bills at Miami Dolphins (+3.5) | TOTAL: 47.5
Despite a lackluster 23-16 loss in their home opener against the Steelers, the oddsmakers don't appear to be too concerned about the Bills even as they head on the road against a tough division opponent in Miami. The Dolphins hung on in New England to spoil Mac Jones' debut 17-16.
Allen and the Bills went 2-0 against the 'Fins a season ago, throwing for seven touchdowns to just one interception, along with a QB rating of 136.7.
Buffalo remains the No. 3 team in WynnBET's Super Bowl odds after the Kansas City Chiefs (+475) and Tampa Bay Buccaneers (+600), tied with the Los Angeles Rams at +1200 odds.
New England Patriots at New York Jets (+6) | TOTAL: 42
If not for a costly Damien Harris red zone fumble, the Patriots likely escape at home with a win over the Dolphins. Instead, the three-point home favorites fell 17-16. For Mac Jones, it was his first loss as a starting quarterback since the 48-45 game to Auburn back in November of 2019. Via NFL.com, that was the only loss Jones experienced during his entire collegiate career as a starter.
The Jets played better in new coach Robert Saleh's debut, losing 19-14 to the Carolina Panthers on the road, but rookie quarterbacks have historically been a mess against Belichick coached defenses.
For those potentially backing the Jets at +6 or higher, while Belichick is 21-6 all-time vs. rookie signal-callers, he's only 8-6 on the road.
Detroit Lions at Green Bay Packers (-11.0) | TOTAL: 48
I made the Packers my pick in Week 2 Survivor because I can't envision a scenario where Aaron Rodgers loses two embarrassing games in back-to-back weeks.
The Packers' 38-3 loss to the Saints was one of the more unthinkable losses we'll see this year in the NFL. Everything theoretically broke Green Bay's way, including not having to play in the dome with a true home-field advantage, causing the line to move by another point-and-a-half, closing at Packers -4.5 on the road.
While Rodgers' MVP odds have taken a slight step back, Vegas still buys the Packers as legitimate contenders to win the NFC North at -200, as well as +700 to win the NFC.
This week, he'll face a Lions team that gave up 40-plus points in their Week 1 loss to the 49ers, and faces a quarterback who's 7-0 in his last seven games on Monday Night Football. Over the last 19 years, teams that lost by 30 points or more in Week 1 are 7-1 SU and 8-0 ATS in Week 2.
Like any of these three favorites in Week 2? Considering fading them?
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