3 Player Props to Bet for Packers vs. Steelers

The Green Bay Packers will host the Pittsburgh Steelers in Week 4 of the NFL season, and the Packers are currently 6.5-point favorites on WynnBET. 

The Packers are a heavily-backed team by the public, but I am still on them as my best spread bet of the week. 

Pittsburgh’s offense has lacked any real punch the past three weeks, and Ben Roethlisberger is struggling mightily with his accuracy. On top of that, Chase Claypool, who has been the team’s most consistent receiver this season, is out of the lineup in Week 4 with a hamstring injury. 

While I think the Packers roll in this matchup, what are some player props that we can take today? 

Here are my three favorite props for Packers-Steelers:

Najee Harris OVER Five Receptions (-120)

Najee Harris saw an insane 19 targets in the Steelers’ Week 3 loss to the Cincinnati Bengals, and that led to his receptions prop getting juiced to -120 on the over. 

The under is at -110, and while it feels like a trap to take the over, I’m going to take it with Claypool out of the lineup. 

Harris has been more involved in the passing game since Week 1, registering five targets and five catches in Week 2 before last week’s 14-catch game. The Packers allow six catches per game on seven targets to running backs this season, and given the fact that Harris has played 95 percent or more of the snaps in each week this season, I expect him to be Roethlisberger’s top checkdown target. 

Aaron Rodgers OVER 1.5 Touchdown Passes (-200)

I don’t love taking the -200 juice, but the fact that Rodgers’ touchdown prop is at 1.5 is just too good not to take. 

Over his last 19 regular season games (this season and last), Rodgers has thrown for two or more touchdowns in 16 of those games. I know the Steelers have a stingy pass rush, but this is the same team that has allowed six touchdown passes through the first three weeks of the season. 

If you’re willing to take the -200 juice, this is almost a lock given Rodgers’ success in Matt LaFleur’s offense. 

Robert Tonyan Anytime Touchdown Scorer (+175)

Robert Tonyan has been a non-factor in two of the Packers’ three games this season, but with Marquez Valdes-Scantling out this week, I think Tonyan helps absorb a lot of that loss. 

The Packers tight end was an elite red zone target last season, catching 11 scores, and he found the end zone in Week 2 when he and Rodgers hooked up for three competitions.

MVS had 16 targets through the first three games of this season, so while Aaron Rodgers will re-distribute those across the offense, I think Tonyan may see the biggest bump. I like him a lot at +175 to score.

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