3 Players to Back in the Final Round of the Farmers Insurance Open
By Ben Heisler
We've reached the final round of the 2022 Farmers Insurance Open from Torrey Pines with co-leaders in first.
Will Zalatoris willed his way to the top of the leaderboard with a 7-under 65 on Friday. Meanwhile, Jason Day, after putting up a scorching 65 on Thursday, followed up with a 67 on Saturday to remain tied for the lead at -14.
If you're wondering where both pre-tournament and current favorite Jon Rahm currently resides, he's just one shot back at -13 after shooting even par on Friday.
My golf card from Wednesday features Zalatoris at 30/1, as well as Sungjae Im at 33/1. Im is currently tied for fifth, so selfishly, I'd love to see either of them pull this thing off.
With the field wide open and 18 holes to go, here are my three favorite final round plays.
3 Picks to win the Farmers Insurance Open - Final Round
- Will Zalatoris (+400)
- Aaron Rai (+1400)
- Ryan Palmer (+3500)
Will Zalatoris (+400)
The current co-leader got off to a blistering start on Friday, eagling on Hole No. 2 and shooting five under on the front nine before slowing down slightly and playing very solid golf on the back 9 to finish -7 on the day.
What's interesting is considering how well Zalatoris is playing, he's actually lost strokes with his putter so far. The number isn't awful (-0.353 through the first 54 holes), but it shouldn't be too much of a surprise. Zalatoris ranked 61st in the field in strokes gained: putting entering the Farmers, but he's made up for it with his driving accuracy and iron play.
The 25-year old phenom is still in search of his first win on the PGA Tour, but this feels like the day he can make it happen.
Aaron Rai (+1400)
The 26-year old Englishman has been remarkably consistent all three rounds, going 67, 68, and 68 in all three rounds so far at Torrey Pines.
On the final days of tournaments, I like placing a small wager on players that have avoided the massive swings, knowing that they're as locked in as possible.
With Rai, his driving accuracy has been ok (64.29%), but he's made up for it with fantastic approach shots and hitting just under 90% of greens in regulation (GIR).
He's also just one back of the lead at 13-under, and will likely be inspired to play great golf being paired with the current favorite in Jon Rahm.
Ryan Palmer (+3500)
The steady veteran is just three shots back who also fits into the same category as Rai. Palmer has shot 67, 69 and 69, remaining consistent and stoic while most of the other golfers around him have dealt with wild swings all week long.
Also, like Rai, Palmer is hitting 90% of the greens in regulation (GIR) and is over 71% in driving accuracy (median is 57%). All he needs to do now is make a few putts and he could cash in with very favorable odds despite being just three shots back.
But Ben, what about Jon Rahm?
Rahm's odds of +250 still feel a bit too inflated considering his swings. But he's 100% capable of dominating on the final round.
My philsophy on betting Rahm is to wait until he starts to heat up. If several other golfers play a great round and Rahm is no longer in second, that's when I'll likely place a wager on him.
Ultimately, he's a live play for me unless the value becomes too good to pass up.
Follow all of Ben Heisler's betting picks in real-time HERE!