3 Quarterbacks Who Have Early Value to Win NFL MVP in 2022 Season

A lot goes into winning an NFL MVP award, and the futures market can fluctuate from week to week based on each player's performance. 

Traditionally, the NFL MVP is a quarterback-dominated award, and it makes sense since it is the most important position on the field. 

Still, it takes more than just solid numbers to win an MVP award. Just ask Justin Herbert. 

The MVP also depends heavily on a team’s success relative to the individual player’s performance. For example, Aaron Rodgers has won back-to-back MVPs with the Green Bay Packers also earning the No. 1 seed in the NFC. 

Tom Brady may have had better numbers than Rodgers in 2021, but Rodgers ultimately won out because of his team’s success as well as his impressive stats. 

All that being said, it means that you can really cash in on an MVP candidate by just grabbing them at the right number. Rodgers was further down the odds early last season because of his offseason tension with the Packers. 

That allowed players like Herbert, Matthew Stafford and Kyler Murray to dominate the early MVP conversation, even though none of them ended up in the running by the end of the season. 

So, who should we target this offseason with the expectation that their odds will move once the 2022 campaign gets under way? Here are my three favorites at WynnBET Sportsbook: 

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Lamar Jackson (+1800)

Lamar Jackson is my favorite early bet to win the MVP award in the 2022 NFL season for several reasons. 

Jackson had arguably the best passing season of his career before going down with injuries in 2021. Before getting hurt, he had already thrown for more yards in 12 games in 2021, than he did in 15 games in 2020. 

In addition, Jackson and the Ravens were banged up everywhere, having the most players in the NFL on injured reserve last season. Baltimore is a contender for a top spot in the playoffs if it stays healthy, and we’ve already seen Jackson win an MVP because of how dynamic an offensive player he is. 

If the Ravens come back to win the division in 2022 and Lamar continues to take a leap throwing the ball, I could see him amongst the top candidates for MVP. Right now, his odds suggest he’d barely crack the top 10. 

Kyler Murray (+2000)

Murray was an MVP candidate last year before getting hurt, and I see the path for him to make a push again in 2022.

The San Francisco 49ers may take a step back with Trey Lance leading the way (they’ve dropped from +1200 to +1800 to win the Super Bowl) and that leaves Arizona in a similar spot to win the division after a solid 2021 season. 

Losing DeAndre Hopkins (suspension) for six games hurts, but if Murray can put the Cardinals in the playoff picture without him, it actually may help his MVP case. 

Jalen Hurts (+3000)

This one is definitely the biggest longshot, but Jalen Hurts finally has an elite WR1 on his team in A.J. Brown. 

The Philadelphia Eagles really improved their roster after making the playoffs in the 2021 season, and now they have an easy strength of schedule in a weak NFC East. 

The Dallas Cowboys are still the favorite in the division, but if Hurts helps the Eagles steal the crown, his ability to put up elite rushing numbers as well as thrive as a passer could swing the MVP race in his favor.

If Hurts gets out to a hot start, these odds will almost certainly be slashed in half.

Find Peter Dewey’s full betting record here.