49ers Player Props: Buy Low on Brandon Aiyuk, Sell High on Deebo Samuel

After Brandon Aiyuk burst onto the scene in 2020, we were expecting him to become a household name in 2021, but that just didn’t happen. In terms of yards per game, he took a big step back, losing nearly 15 yards per game. 

This training camp has been an opportunity for him, with a new quarterback, to get his career back on the right track and finally take that next step. 

DraftKings has Aiyuk’s season-long receiving yard prop at 775.5 yards, with -115 odds on both sides. This could be a great opportunity to buy low on Aiyuk, who according to teammate Fred Warner, has been annoyed into forming superstar habits. 

“I know how much he has in him and I know if I kind of nag him a little bit, he's gonna start getting sick and tired of that and start to kind of hold his own,” Warner said to Nick Wagoner of ESPN. “ ... I'm just trying to get the best out of him, and that's it."

There were a few positives that came out of last year for Aiyuk. His catch percentage went up; His yards per target went up; His yards after the catch per reception went up. He showed a few signs of being a dynamic playmaker. With Trey Lance in at quarterback, the San Francisco 49ers’ offense should be more explosive than in recent seasons and should give Aiyuk all the space he needs to clear this mark. 

At the same time, this may be a good time to sell high on Aiyuk’s counterpart, Deebo Samuel. In 2021, Samuel had nearly 1,800 total yards. Now that Samuel signed a big deal, Aiyuk is making his emergence and the offense may look slightly different with Lance under center, his total usage might go down. Samuel is still expected to be great, but First-Team All-Pro might be a lot to ask. 

His season long prop for rushing and receiving yards is at 1,350.5 yards at DraftKings, with -110 odds on both sides. If Aiyuk takes a step forward, there may not be enough yards to go around. 

You can find Donnavan Smoot’s full betting record here.