5 Season-Long Player Props You Should Bet for 2022 NFL Season

Minnesota Vikings wide receiver Justin Jefferson.
Minnesota Vikings wide receiver Justin Jefferson. / Quinn Harris-USA TODAY Sports
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We're a week away from the start of the 2022 NFL season!

Finally, after what seemed like a never-ending offseason, football is back.

By now, most people have already placed their team futures, like Super Bowl bets and team win totals. But, what about season-long player props?

Here are my five favorite player prop bets to bet on ahead of the opening kickoff for the 2022 NFL season:

Best NFL Player Props for 2022

  • Derek Carr OVER 4,450.5 Passing Yards (-110)
  • Daniel Jones UNDER 3,550.5 Passing Yards (-110)
  • Derrick Henry UNDER 1,350.5 Rushing Yards (-115)
  • Justin Jefferson OVER 1,350.5 Receiving Yards (-115)
  • Skyy Moore OVER 680.5 Receiving Yards (-115)

Derek Carr OVER 4,450.5 Passing Yards

Derek Carr threw for a career-high 4,804 yards in 2021. The performance was good enough to lead the Las Vegas Raiders to a 10-7 record and playoff berth.

Now, Carr has added one of the best offensive weapons in the game to his arsenal, Davante Adams. If Carr can throw for 4,804 yards with Hunter Renfrow and Darren Waller as his primary targets, what makes you think he can't come close to that number again this season with Adams in the mix?

Daniel Jones UNDER 3,550.5 Passing Yards

If you take Daniel Jones’ worst yards per game mark in his first three seasons, and average it out for a 17 game schedule, it’s more than this number.

BUT, he hasn’t played in more 14 games in a season yet. Not only has he had constant injury issues, but we don’t even know if he’s going to start all season with Tyrod Taylor breathing down his neck.

If he stays healthy and performs well for 17 games, he’ll go over this number. I’ll bet that he won’t.

Derrick Henry UNDER 1,350.5 Rushing Yards (-115)

It wasn't just the fact that Derrick Henry, after leading the NFL in carries in two-straight seasons, suffered injuries last year that caused him to miss the season.

It's also that while he did play, he wasn't productive. Sure, he averaged 117.1 yards per game, but that was a product of being handed the ball non-stop all eight games he played in. What's more important, is that he averaged only 4.3 yards per carry.

That marks was his worst since 2017, and a full 1.1 yards fewer than his 2020 production.

So whether it's going to be more injury trouble, or a complete lack of production, "King" Henry will go under the number in 2022.

Justin Jefferson OVER 1,350.5 Receiving Yards (-115)

This number might be the most confusing number posted in all player futures.

Justin Jefferson has been in the league two seasons, has already established himself as a top receiver in the NFL, and has surpassed this number in both seasons. Not only that, but he surpassed this number by almost 300 yards last year.

So, why is his number so low?

As a cherry on top, the Minnesota Vikings new head coach is the former offensive coordinator of the Los Angeles Rams. So, they'll be using the same scheme that allowed Cooper Kupp pile up 1,947 yards last season.

Skyy Moore OVER 680.5 Receiving Yards (-115)

Who else is Patrick Mahomes going to throw the ball to this season now that Tyreek Hill is gone?

Sure, Travis Kelce will get a ton of targets, but Mahomes can't only throw to his tight end. The other three options are JuJu Smith-Schuster, Marquez Valdes-Scantling, and Mecole Hardman.

If the rookie can establish himself as a viable option, it's only a matter of time before he starts stealing targets from the names above. I think 680.5 receiving yards is an easy number to bet the over on, considering the other players in the wide receiver room in Kansas City.


You can track Iain's bets on Betstamp here.