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ACC college football preview: Odds to win conference, win totals and predictions

Clemson and Florida State are at the top of the conference, but how else does the rest of the ACC shake out? All the odds ahead of the 2023 season.

By Reed Wallach

April 15, 2023; Clemson, SC , USA; Clemson quarterback Cade Klubnik (2) during the fourth quarter
April 15, 2023; Clemson, SC , USA; Clemson quarterback Cade Klubnik (2) during the fourth quarter / The Independent Mail-USA TODAY NETWORK
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The ACC didn't send a team to the College Football Playoff for the second straight season, but it was a familiar face at the top despite falling short of its lofty goals in Clemson.

The Tigers have won eight ACC Championships since 2011 and will look to make it a ninth, but the rest of the conference should be far improved with Florida State set to field its most formidable roster in several years around Heisman Trophy contender Jordan Travis and future first round pass rusher Jared Verse.

There's a crowded middle of the conference below those two contenders, including Drake Maye and North Carolina as well as a host of transfer quarterbacks like Brenan Armstrong at North Carolina State and Phil Jurkovec at Pittsburgh after transferring within the conference.

Here are all the odds and our take on who will win the ACC in 2023.

ACC Win Totals

  • Boston College: 5.5 (Over -120/Under +100)
  • Clemson: 10 (Over +105/Under -125)
  • Duke: 6.5 (Over +130/Under -150)
  • Florida State: 10 (Over +110/Under -130)
  • Georgia Tech: 4.5 (Over +120/Under -140)
  • Louisville: 8 (Over -110/Under -110)
  • Miami (Florida): 7.5 (Over +120/Under -140)
  • North Carolina State: 6.5 (Over -145/Under +125)
  • North Carolina: 8.5 (Over -110/Under -110)
  • Pittsburgh: 7 (Over -120/Under +100)
  • Syracuse: 6.5 (Over -105/Under -115)
  • Virginia: 3.5 (Over -105/Under -115)
  • Virginia Tech: 5.5 (Over +120/Under -145)
  • Wake Forest: 6 (Over -120/Under +100)

Odds courtesy of DraftKings Sportsbook

ACC Conference Winner

  • Clemson: +155
  • Florida State: +160
  • North Carolina: +900
  • Louisville: +1000
  • North Carolina State: +2000
  • Miami (Florida): +2000
  • Pittsburgh: +2500
  • Duke: +3000
  • Wake Forest: +6000
  • Syracuse: +7500
  • Boston College: +10000
  • Virginia Tech: +10000
  • Georgia Tech: +15000
  • Virginia: +20000

ACC Dark Horse: North Carolina State (+2000)

After being the trendy pick to take a run at Clemson in 2022, the shine has worn off of the Wolfpack, after an 8-5 season. But I'm buying the Wolfpack in 2023.

Sure, the team's veteran laden defense has lost some key contributors and has a sub-50% returning production rate, but this is a team that has been in the 94th percentile in SP+ defensive rating since defensive coordinator Tony Gibson has taken over in 2020. This is a system that has overcome some turnover in terms of production.

The Wolfpack 3-3-5 has been a difficult scheme for the ACC to handle, but the offense has been a bit underwhelming, even with a capable signal caller like Devin Leary manning the position. However, last year Leary suffered a midseason shoulder injury that cost him the last handful of games, but head coach Dave Doeren went to a familiar foe to take over for the now Kentucky Wildcats QB Leary in Virginia transfer Brenan Armstrong.

Doeren also tired to jumpstart the offense by hiring Armstrong's former offensive coordinator in Robert Anae, who was most recently at Syracuse. In 2020, Armstrong and Anae teamed up to post the eighth best offense in the country in terms of SP+ rating.

The team brings back three starters on the offensive line and picked up Oregon transfer Jaramillo Dawson from Oregon, this offense has a ton of upside with Anae at the helm.

The schedule also breaks nicely for the Wolfpack, who will be at they very least a small underdog in all four ACC road games against Virginia, Duke, Wake Forest and Virginia Tech while getting the omst difficult games at home against Louisville, Clemson (off a bye), Miami and North Carolina.

While many are eyeing Clemson and Florida State for the ACC, NC State is live to make a run at the top.

ACC Pick: Clemson (+155)

There's not a ton separating Clemson and Florida State, but I believe the Tigers have the inside track.

The team took a minor step back in 2022, and still fielded a top 10 roster that won the ACC. Now, the team upgrades at quarterback to former five star recruit Cade Klubnik and Dabo Swinney made the savvy hire of Garrett Riley from TCU at OC.

Klubnik has a higher ceiling than Max Duggan had at TCU last season to offset the lack of NFL talent in the skill corps, but he's got plenty of help around him with returning running back Will Shipley back in addition to a full healthy Beaux Collins lining up along side emerging stud Antonio Williams.

The defense should be an elite unit once again that was top 25 in key stats such as success rate and defensive line yards. While the team lost two first rounders on the line, the team should put up similar numbers to the top five sack mark with returning pass rushers like Xavier Thomas, Tyler Davis and Peter Woods looking to get into the backfield.

Most importantly, the schedule sets up nicely for Clemson in a now division-less ACC. The Tigers host Florida State in a game that will likely clinch the winner in the ACC title game.

While the Tigers do go on the road to face Miami and NC State in back-to-back weeks, this team should be a more pronounced favorite to win the ACC due to its scheduling advantage over the closest challenger in Florida State.

ACC Champion: Clemson

Game odds refresh periodically and are subject to change.

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