AJ Dillon vs. Aaron Jones: Who Will Have More Rushing Yards in 2022?

The Green Bay Packers will have to reinvent themselves once again in 2022. 

Davante Adams is gone, and there isn’t a strong option for his replacement. The Packers will likely lean on A.J. Dillon and Aaron Jones more, hoping their consistent backfield production can buy them time before one of the receivers has to step up. 

However, the question then becomes: Which running back should you trust?

In 2021, Dillon and Jones were separated by two carries, 76 scrimmage yards and three touchdowns. In 2022, the split could be 50/50 again, but I would bet on there being a discrepancy in the running game.

DraftKings has  Dillon’s rushing touchdown prop at 5.5, with the OVER odds at -120 and the UNDER at -110. For Jones, his line is at 6.5, with the same odds. The scoring numbers indicate that the backfield is going to be split. However, the sportsbook has an interesting take on what the backfield will truly look like.

Dillon’s rushing yards prop this season at 775.5 yards, with -110 odds on both sides. Aaron Jones doesn’t even have a line for rushing yards. Jones finished last season under 800 yards and has seen his carries drop each of the last two seasons. It’s clear Dillon has a notable stake in the committee and may even bounce Jones out of the rushing duties. 

Jones is still going to play, but expect his impact to come in the passing game. Dillon is the bigger back who’s value explodes on the goal line. He went from 46 carries in his rookie year to 187 carries last year. Green Bay sees him as a true running back who can lead the backfield. 

I wouldn’t hesitate to take the OVER on Dillon’s rushing yard or rushing touchdown props heading into the season. 

You can find Donnavan Smoot’s full betting record here.