Akron vs. UCLA Prediction and Odds for NCAA Men's Tournament First Round

UCLA is set to take on Akron in the first round of this year's March Madness tournament.
UCLA is set to take on Akron in the first round of this year's March Madness tournament. / Leon Bennett/GettyImages
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UCLA lost a heartbreaker to Arizona in the Pac-12 Championship Game, but the Bruins impressive season has earned them a No. 4 seed in the NCAA Tournament's East Region. They'll face-off against the No. 13 Akron Zips in the first round, for the right to advance to the Round fo 32 to face the winner of Saint Mary's and Wyoming/Indiana.

Akron earned its spot in the NCAA Tournament by winning the MAC Championship, beating No. 1 seed Toledo in the semifinal and then handling Kent State with ease, beating them 75-55.

Here are the odds via WynnBET, as well as some information and trends, for this Round of 64 matchup.

Akron vs. UCLA Odds, Spread, and Total

Spread:

  • Akron +13.5
  • UCLA -13.5

Moneyline:

  • Akron +750
  • UCLA -1200

Total:

  • 129 (Over -110/Under -110)

Akron vs. UCLA Betting Trends, Insights, and Analysis

Akron

  • Regular Season Record: 24-9
  • ATS Record: 18-14
  • Over/Under Record: 18-14
  • SoS: 183rd
  • Adjusted Offensive Efficiency: 106.1
  • Defensive Efficiency: 102.7
  • eFG%: 52.8%
  • FT%: 69.2%
  • 3PT%: 35.6%

Last year's Tournament Result: N/A

Odds to win National Championship: +3000 (Field)

UCLA

  • Overall Record: 25-7
  • ATS Record:17-14-1
  • Over/Under Record: 16-16
  • SoS: 14th
  • Adjusted Offensive Efficiency: 116.1
  • Defensive Efficiency: 91.2
  • eFG%: 50.6%
  • FT%: 73.6%
  • 3PT%: 35.1%

Last year's Tournament Result: Final Four (lost to Gonzaga)

Odds to win National Championship: +2500

Akron vs. UCLA Prediction and Pick

Despite the Pac-12 having the strongest overall performance of any conference last season, they are once again being underrated heading into this year's edition of March Madness, and I won't stand for it.

UCLA was slightly overshadowed by Arizona, but I think the Bruins are truly one of the best teams in the country.

In terms of covering the spread in their opening game against Akron, there's one specific stat that I look for when determining if a team is susceptible to losing as a big favorite in the first round. Luckily for the Bruins, they thrive in this stat, which is turnovers per possession. If a big underdog wants to win, they have to force turnovers, but that's going to be tough against a UCLA team that ranks fifth in the country in turnovers.

Furthermore, this Akron team is going to struggle to slow down an offense as talented as UCLA with a defense that ranks just 135th in defensive efficiency. Give me UCLA to cover this spread and advance to the Round of 32.

Pick: UCLA -13.5

Check out Iain's detailed 2022 college basketball betting record here.


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