Betsided

Alabama vs. Georgia Prediction and Odds for the College Football Playoff Championship

By Iain MacMillan

Alabama and Georgia will face-off in the National Championship Game.
Alabama and Georgia will face-off in the National Championship Game. / Gary Cosby Jr.-USA TODAY Sports
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In what was the most predictable outcome of the College Football Playoff, Alabama and Georgia bested their semi-final opponents and will face-off against each other in an SEC Championship rematch in the College Football National Championship Game.

Alabama outlasted No. 4 Cincinnati 27-6 in the Cotton Bowl, while Georgia took down No. 2 Michigan 34-11 in the Orange Bowl.

Alabama cruised past Georgia in the SEC Championship Game, beating them 41-24 despite the Bulldogs entering the game with a flawless 12-0 record. Even with that result, Georgia has opened as the favorite in the National Championship Game.

Let's break down the odds via WynnBET.

Georgia vs. Alabama National Championship Game Odds, Spread and Total

Spread:

  • Georgia -3 (-110)
  • Alabama +3 (-110)

Moneyline:

  • Georgia -155
  • Alabama +127

Total:

  • 52.5 (Over -110/Under -110)

Georgia vs. Alabama Betting Trends

  • The UNDER is 7-3 in Georgia's last 10 games.
  • Georgia is 0-7 in its last seven games vs. Alabama.
  • The OVER is 9-1 in the last 10 meetings between these teams.
  • The OVER is 11-4 in Alabama's last 15 games played in January.

Georgia vs. Alabama National Championship Game Prediction

Despite getting handled by Alabama in the SEC Championship Game, Georgia opened up as a 2.5-point favorite and that line has already move to -3. I think that Georgia is the better team here, but last game's result gives me pause when it comes to betting on a side in this game.

That's why I think a look at the total is the right move to make. There were 65 points scored in the SEC Championship, and I think the high-scoring affair is what the true outlier was in that game.

Georgia only allowed an eye-popping 9.8 points per game this college football season, so I expect its defense to bounce back in a big way on January 10th. Meanwhile, Alabama's defense showed its teeth by completely shutting down Desmond Ridder and Cincinnati in the semi-final game, holding them to a measly six points.

With the total in the 50s, I think it's too high and a complete overreaction to an uncharacteristically high-scoring affair for both teams a few weeks back.

Pick: UNDER 52.5