In what was the most predictable outcome of the College Football Playoff, Alabama and Georgia bested their semi-final opponents and will face-off against each other in an SEC Championship rematch in the College Football National Championship Game.
Alabama outlasted No. 4 Cincinnati 27-6 in the Cotton Bowl, while Georgia took down No. 2 Michigan 34-11 in the Orange Bowl.
Alabama cruised past Georgia in the SEC Championship Game, beating them 41-24 despite the Bulldogs entering the game with a flawless 12-0 record. Even with that result, Georgia has opened as the favorite in the National Championship Game.
THE FINISH LINE IS IN SIGHT ?
— SportsCenter (@SportsCenter) January 1, 2022
Who will win the natty in Indy? ?
Georgia vs. Alabama #CFBPlayoff pic.twitter.com/KgUSnfMuTf
Let's break down the odds via WynnBET.
Georgia vs. Alabama National Championship Game Odds, Spread and Total
Spread:
- Georgia -3 (-110)
- Alabama +3 (-110)
Moneyline:
- Georgia -155
- Alabama +127
Total:
- 52.5 (Over -110/Under -110)
Georgia vs. Alabama Betting Trends
- The UNDER is 7-3 in Georgia's last 10 games.
- Georgia is 0-7 in its last seven games vs. Alabama.
- The OVER is 9-1 in the last 10 meetings between these teams.
- The OVER is 11-4 in Alabama's last 15 games played in January.
Georgia vs. Alabama National Championship Game Prediction
Despite getting handled by Alabama in the SEC Championship Game, Georgia opened up as a 2.5-point favorite and that line has already move to -3. I think that Georgia is the better team here, but last game's result gives me pause when it comes to betting on a side in this game.
That's why I think a look at the total is the right move to make. There were 65 points scored in the SEC Championship, and I think the high-scoring affair is what the true outlier was in that game.
Georgia only allowed an eye-popping 9.8 points per game this college football season, so I expect its defense to bounce back in a big way on January 10th. Meanwhile, Alabama's defense showed its teeth by completely shutting down Desmond Ridder and Cincinnati in the semi-final game, holding them to a measly six points.
With the total in the 50s, I think it's too high and a complete overreaction to an uncharacteristically high-scoring affair for both teams a few weeks back.