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Alabama vs. Tennessee Prediction, Odds, Spread and Over/Under for College Football Week 7

By Reed Wallach

Tennessee quarterback Hendon Hooker (5) scrambles with the ball during an NCAA college football game
Tennessee quarterback Hendon Hooker (5) scrambles with the ball during an NCAA college football game / Brianna Paciorka/News Sentinel / USA
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The game of the week goes down in Knoxville, Tennessee as the next contender takes aim at one of college football's titans.

No. 6 Tennessee plays host to No. 3 Alabama in what is shaping up as the most compelling game of the college football season. Tennessee throttled LSU on the road last week 40-13, cementing themselves as a top 10 team in the country, while Alabama sat Bryce Young in hopes that his sprained AC joint can heal in time for this game.

Are the Crimson Tide in danger of losing on the road? Can Young attack the Vols suspect secondary? We got it all for you with our full betting breakdown:

Alabama vs. Tennessee Odds, Spread and Total

Alabama vs. Tennessee Betting Trends

  • Tennessee is 4-1 against the spread (ATS) this season, first time as an underdog
  • Alabama is 4-2 ATS this season
  • Alabama has gone UNDER in four of six games this season
  • Nick Saban-coached Alabama teams are 63-43 ATS as a favorite of a touchdown or more

Alabama vs. Tennessee Prediction and Pick

I made the case for backing Tennessee as an underdog of over a touchdown on The Early Reed this Tuesday:

The status around Bryce Young is driving this line, but I believe that he will play. He was held out of last week's close call against Texas A&M in hopes of being healthy enough to go in this top 10 matchup, but even if he plays how effective will he be?

The Vols secondary is the weak point of this defense, 86th in success rate and 61st in EPA/Pass, but does the Crimson Tide have the vertical threats and a healthy enough Young to take advantage? The team has a fantastic run game, but Tennessee's defensive line has been incredible this season, top 10 in yards per carry and 17th in defensive line yards.

Meanwhile, the Tennessee offense grades out better than the Alabama one (with Young in) and has faced formidable defenses in the past and passed with flying colors, knocking off Pitt and LSU on the road.

Young may play, but I question his effectiveness and think Tennessee is live to spring the upset.

Game odds refresh periodically and are subject to change.

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