Alabama vs. Texas Prediction, Odds, Spread and Over/Under for College Football Week 2

Texas Longhorns quarterback Quinn Ewers.
Texas Longhorns quarterback Quinn Ewers. / Scott Wachter-USA TODAY Sports
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All eyes will descend on Austin, Texas Saturday afternoon as we get a little taste of what Texas will look like in the SEC.

The Longhorns host the No. 1 team in the country, Alabama, on Saturday afternoon ahead of their move to the SEC. The Longhorns got off to a strong start, beating Louisiana-Monroe 52-10 as the team ushers in new quarterback Quinn Ewers. Alabama also took care of business in a big way, disposing of Utah State, 55-0 ahead of its road trip to face Texas.

Bryce Young is now the Heisman Trophy favorite again, looking to become the second player to win back-to-back awards. Can he have another signature moment against Texas? Or is Texas finally, truly, actually back?

Here are the odds and our best bet from FanDuel Sportsbook:

Alabama vs. Texas Odds, Spread and Total

Spread:

  • Alabama: -20 (-110)
  • Texas: +20 (-110)

Moneyline:

  • Alabama: -1250
  • Texas: +750

Total:

  • 64.5 (Over -110/Under -110)

Alabama vs. Texas Betting Trends

  • Texas is 61-62-2 against the spread (ATS) over the last 10 years and 6-5-1 ATS as a home underdog
  • Nick Saban is 25-2 against former assistants. Texas head coach Steve Sarkisian was his offensive coordinator
  • Over the last 10 years, Alabama is 21-19 ATS as a road favorite despite a 35-5 record.

Alabama vs. Texas Prediction and Pick

Texas has a ton of talent and could contend for a Big 12 title, but this game is happening too early in the season for the Longhorns to keep up. This will be Quinn Ewers' second collegiate start and he has to face a sophisticated defense that has the best pass rusher in the country in Will Anderson.

The Longhorns were middle of the pack last season on the offensive line in terms of allowing sacks (27) and also struggled to stop the pass last season. Opponents completed more than two-thirds of their passes against Texas in 2021 while also averaging over six yards per play.

The Crimson Tide should be able to win through the air or on the ground against a Texas defense that is still searching for an identity. While the Crimson Tide offensive line still has to answer some questions long term, this Longhorns defense will likely be a step too slow in Week 2.

I can see this game getting out of hand quickly as Steve Sarkisian's club tries to adjust to the speed of Alabama. The gap between these two teams is large enough to lean towards the Alabama side. We saw this in Week 1 when Georgia throttled Oregon 49-3 as a 17-point favorite.

Even on the road, the Crimson Tide should assert their dominance against an inexperienced ball club. To avoid any late game cover issues, I like taking Alabama on the first half spread.

LEAN: Alabama 1H -11.5


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