The Los Angeles Angels lost four of their last five games but send all-world superstar Shohei Ohtani to the mound in hopes of picking up a series victory over the lowly Detroit Tigers.
Ohtani allowed two runs or fewer in 10 of his last 11 starts and ranks among MLB's best pitchers in most major statistical categories. On the season, he's got a 10-7 record and 2.69 ERA.
Detroit turns to Eduardo Rodriguez, who brings a 1-3 record and 4.38 ERA into the contest. Rodriguez pitched well in recent weeks before exiting after allowing three runs in the first inning in his last outing. The Tigers are 1-6 in his last seven starts.
Can Ohtani get Los Angeles back on track or will Rodriguez lead Detroit to an upset?
Let's take a look at the odds from WynnBET Sportsbook to help find the value in this Angels vs Tigers matchup:
Angels vs Tigers Odds, Run Line and Total
- Angels -1.5 (-105)
- Tigers +1.5 (-115)
- Angels: -185
- Tigers: +170
- 6.5 (Over -115/Under -105)
Angels vs. Tigers Prediction and Pick
Eduardo Rodriguez was pitching quite well before his first inning blow-up against the Tampa Bay Rays in his last start. He'd allowed three or fewer runs in six of his seven outings, though the Tigers' poor lineup couldn't generate run support and took the loss in six of those games anyway.
It's difficult to see Detroit putting runs on the board against Ohtani either, as the Tigers easily have MLB's worst OPS against right-handed pitchers this month. Ohtani has an expected FIP (Fielding Independent Pitching) below 3.16 in eight of his last nine starts, including six under 2.22. That's an insane stretch, and it wouldn't surprise me to see the reigning MVP throw a shutout.
That being said, it's hard to trust the Angels as big favorites because the team likes to do things like...whatever that is above. The club invents ways to lose on an bafflingly regular basis, and I don't feel comfortable backing them. Despite Ohtani's incredible run, Los Angeles still lost four of his last five. That should be almost impossible.
So instead, I'll look to the total. 6.5 isn't many runs, but these pathetic lineups make me feel comfortable taking the under. It's 8-0-1 in the Angels' last nine games as road favorites and 5-0-1 in Detroit's last six as home underdogs.
Look for each pitcher to limit the respective offenses as the under train keeps chugging along.
Pick: Under 6.5 (-105)
Follow all of Joe Summers' betting picks here.