Arizona State vs. UCLA Prediction, Odds and Spread for College Football Week 5

No. 20 UCLA is at home against 3-1 Arizona State on Saturday night, with the spread indicating a close PAC-12 matchup. 

Both of these teams are in the hunt for the PAC-12 South division title and this will help sort out the pecking order in the division. 

Keep reading for our game preview, but let’s get started with the odds from WynnBET Sportsbook.

Arizona State vs. UCLA Odds

Spread

Arizona State: +3 (-105)

UCLA: -3 (-115)

Moneyline

Arizona State: +140

UCLA: -165

Total: 55.5 (Over -110/Under -110)

While he’s on track to play, Dorian Thompson-Robinson was injured in the Bruins' win over Stanford last week. 

Now, he’ll face an Arizona State defense that is a major step up from last week’s opponent, and assuredly the toughest all season. This is a veteran defensive front that is surely not going to forget when they limped into a game against UCLA and lost 25-18. This season, they are letting up just 3.5 yards per carry. 

Chip Kelly’s offense likes to use DTR’s speed as well as running backs Zach Charbonet and Brittain Brown to move the ball; the team is running it on more than 65% of plays. The Sun Devils defense is top 30 in havoc rate as well as stellar at stopping the run, which can force Thompson-Robinson into poor decision-making as a passer.

ASU fell at BYU two weeks back in a somewhat strange game that featured some poor turnover looks. The team fumbled the opening kick off and also fumbled an interception return that could’ve given them the lead in the second half.

The Sun Devils lost by 10 despite out-gaining BYU by a yard-and-a-half per play, mainly because of the four turnovers. If they were to win at Provo, this line isn’t what it is now. 

Now, quarterback Jayden Daniels can get the Sun Devils back on track in PAC-12 play with a win on the road.

Daniels has been sensational this season and is the more complete signal caller in this matchup. He is completing nearly 73% of his passes with an average yards per attempt of nearly nine. Despite three interceptions, Daniels is playing with a host of weapons such as Rachaad White, the team's leading rusher and receiver. As well, the Sun Devils offensive line is as strong as anyone in the country, placing inside the top 10 in line yards.

The injury questions to DTR, coupled with the fact that UCLA has a negligible home field advantage at the Rose Bowl, I make Arizona State a small favorite in this game. I was able to get +3.5 (-115), but still like +3, and the Sun Devils are a strong candidate to make the underdog round robin later this week. 

Pick: Arizona State +3

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