Arizona vs. USC Prediction and Odds (Bet the Under in PAC 12 Showdown)

Feb 26, 2022; Boulder, Colorado, USA; Arizona Wildcats guard Justin Kier (5) reacts during the
Feb 26, 2022; Boulder, Colorado, USA; Arizona Wildcats guard Justin Kier (5) reacts during the / Ron Chenoy-USA TODAY Sports
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Arizona is in the midst of a brutal road schedule, playing their third road game in six nights, against a legitimate PAC 12 threat in USC.

The Trojans lost the first meeting to Arizona on the road despite leading in the second half, but the team held up nicely against the Wildcats frontcourt.

Is there betting value on the home underdog against an exhausted club in 'Zona?

Here are the betting odds from WynnBET Sportsbook:

Arizona vs. USC Odds, Spread and Total

Spread:

  • Arizona -5 (-110)
  • USC +5 (-110)

Moneyline:

  • Arizona: -210
  • USC: +170

Total: 150.5 (Over -110/Under -110)

Arizona vs. USC Prediction and Pick

It may not be pleasant, but my favorite play is on the under between two teams that have been busy on the road and may be a bit flat in a physical matchup.

The first meeting between the two closed 150 and resulted in a 72-63 Wildcats home victory and I see a similar score line playing out on Tuesday night. While Arizona plays fast and wants to push a pace, USC is fantastic at limiting transition opportunities and have the best interior defense in PAC 12 play.

Meanwhile, Arizona is also stellar on the interior, second best in PAC 12 play and each team runs opponents off the three-point line, the two are first and third in three-point rate allowed, respectively.

The Wildcats may be vulnerable yet again with a miserable scheduling spot, but I'm more confident in playing the under given USC's ability to slow the pace and both teams ability to shut down the inside. It doesn't hut that both teams are pretty sloppy with the ball in PAC-12 play as well; USC is 7th in turnover rate while Arizona is 10th.

PICK: UNDER 150.5, play to 149


All of Reed's college basketball plays can be tracked here, his best bets column for college basketball is 77-74-3 for -1.35 units.