Arkansas vs. Florida Prediction and Odds (Can Razorbacks Stay Hot?)

Arkansas Razorbacks guard JD Notae.
Arkansas Razorbacks guard JD Notae. / Nelson Chenault-USA TODAY Sports
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Arkansas can do no wrong. The team has won 11 of their past 12 games with their lone defeat coming on the road by one two weekends ago.

Last weekend, the Razorbacks beat an elite foe in Tennessee, but now face another team coming off a massive win over the weekend in Florida, who took down Auburn at home on Saturday.

Now it's the Hogs turn to travel to Gainesville to try and defeat the Gators, who will try and make a late run at the NCAA Tournament with another quality victory.

Here are the odds from WynnBET Sportsbook:

Arkansas vs. Florida Odds, Spread and Total

Spread:

  • Arkansas: -1 (-110)
  • Florida: +1 (-110)

Moneyline:

  • Arkansas: -115
  • Florida: +105

Total: 133.5 (Over -110/Under -110)

Arkansas vs. Florida Prediction and Pick

I can't stop betting on Arkansas, who profiles as a dangerous Tournament team yet again after making the Elite 8 last season. This matchup should set up well for them as both teams struggle to shoot from the perimeter, but the Razorbacks have a significant advantage on the inside.

While Colin Castleton is the Gators rock solid rim protector (32nd nationally in block percentage), the Hogs have the size in the frontcourt to dominate inside.

The Gators struggle on the glass and also lack the playmaking to generate a ton of close looks from inside. More than half of their shots in SEC play is coming from beyond the arc, but they aren't hitting them, shooting below 30%.

Florida's shooting proximity is bottom 40 in the country, while Arkansas shuts down the inside as well. The team is physical and protects the rock (second lowest turnover rate) which can stymie the Gators transition attack. If Mike White's team is forced to try and execute in the half court, I don't like their chances against the size of the Razorbacks.

While Eric Musselman's team still has issues shooting efficiently, I love that they crash the glass on both ends, make their free throws and are physical with their opponents. This is a tough spot for the Gators who I don't think very highly of coming off an emotional close win over Auburn on Saturday.

I'm taking Arkansas to grab another victory.

PICK: Arkansas -1


All of Reed's college basketball plays can be tracked 
here, his best bets column for college basketball is 66-61-3 for +1.96 units.