Betsided

Arkansas vs. Ole Miss Prediction and Odds (Ride the Rebels to a Home Upset)

By Ben Heisler

Mississippi Rebels guard Matthew Murrell look to keep the positive momentum going after their big win vs. Florida on Monday night.
Mississippi Rebels guard Matthew Murrell look to keep the positive momentum going after their big win vs. Florida on Monday night. / Petre Thomas-USA TODAY Sports
facebooktwitterreddit

Fresh off an upset victory against the Florida Gators on Monday, the Ole Miss Rebels host the Arkansas Razorbacks this evening in Oxford.

The Razorbacks have won four straight, including an overtime thriller at home on Saturday to Texas A&M, 76-73. While 14-5 on the season, they remain in the middle of the pack in the SEC at 4-3.

Here's how the latest odds stack up for tonight over at WynnBET Sportsbook.

Arkansas vs. Ole Miss Odds, Spread and Total

Spread:

  • Arkansas -4.5 (-110)
  • Ole Miss +4.5 (-110)

Moneyline:

  • Arkansas -180
  • Ole Miss +150

Total:

  • 137.5 (OVER -110 | UNDER -110)

Arkansas vs. Ole Miss Prediction and Pick

I've already written up a few games today, including Florida and Tennessee where teams are coming off makeup matches from late December and are having to jam them in this week. Some teams may even play as many as four games in a week!

Arkansas is not one of those teams, and should be well rested ahead of this evening, but Ole Miss may have turned the corner in their win against the Gators on Monday night. Matthew Murrell and Daeshun Ruffin were outstanding, going for 20 and 21 points respectively, with Ruffin getting to the free throw line 10 times on his own. With Arkansas having the No. 2 adjusted defensive efficiency in the SEC via KenPom, the Rebels will need to get to the charity stripe to stay in it. Last game, they shot 16-20.

Ole Miss also was outstanding in defending the three-point shot against Florida, with the Gators going 4-29 on Monday night. Good news for the Rebels? Arkansas shoots just 26.7% from downtown, and the Rebels' guard the outside shot at the second best clip in the conference.

If Arkansas can't make threes and can't guard Ole Miss in the lane, forcing them to take outside shots, then I think Ole Miss is live here.

Ultimately, the Razorbacks are a far superior team, but with a quick turnaround and remaining at home, I like Kermit Davis' squad to keep it close throughout.

LEAN: Ole Miss +4.5 (-110)

Home/College Basketball Predictions and Picks