Aryna Sabalenka vs Marketa Vondrousova Prediction and Odds (Back Higher Seed To Pull Off Upset)

Aryna Sabalenka of Belarus.
Aryna Sabalenka of Belarus. / Danielle Parhizkaran-USA TODAY Sports

After making it to the semifinals of the last two Grand Slams, Aryna Sabalenka is looking for her first Grand Slam finals appearance down under. Marketa Vondrousova will be standing in her way, as the No. 31 seed is trying to make it back to the fourth round.

These two have clearly have a lot on the line and will look to add another great match into their budding rivalry. Let's see who has the advantage.

Here are the odds for the matchup courtesy of WynnBET

Aryna Sabalenka vs Marketa Vondrousova Odds and Over/Under


  • Sabalenka: +130
  • Vondrousova: -160

Over/Under: 19.5 (Over: -195/Under: +155)

Aryna Sabalenka vs Marketa Vondrousova Prediction and Pick

Sabalenka is the No. 2 seed, but she hasn't been playing like it. She's given up her first set in both of her first two matches and has been forced to flip the switch. Meanwhile, Vondrousova has won both of her matches in straight sets. Yet Sabalenka knows Vondrousova very well. In their last two matches, Sabalenka has won both and has won the last four sets against Vondrousova.

Sabalenka has been sloppy while serving this year. She already has 39 double faults in 2022, compared to 16 for Vondrousova. If she can have a clean serving game, she can make easy work of Vondrousova. Sabalenka is boasting a 69.2 percentage rate when it comes to break points converted. She's winning a lot of points she shouldn't be, which makes her the more dangerous player.

Lean: Sabalenka ML (+130)