Ashleigh Barty vs. Danielle Collins Prediction and Odds (Back Barty To Bring Home Title)

We have made it to the finals of the Australian Open.

On the women's side, Ashleigh Barty will face off against Danielle Collins to see who takes home the crown. For Barty, this is her first Australian Open final. For Collins, this is her first Grand Slam final.

Despite very different paths, these two have played phenomenally up until this point. Barty, as the favorite, has torched everyone in her path. Collins, an underdog, has pulled off upset after upset and is now looking to pull off the biggest one of the year.

Here are the odds for the matchup courtesy of WynnBET. 

Ashleigh Barty vs. Danielle Collins Odds and Over/Under

Moneyline: 

• Barty: -500
• Collins: +360

Over/Under: 20 (Over: -115/Under: -105)

Ashleigh Barty vs. Danielle Collins Prediction and Pick

Barty is a massive favorite and she should be. She hasn't lost a set yet and has only given up four games in a set once. She's been absolutely dominant.

I wrote earlier this week that if anyone were to upset Barty, it would have been be Madison Keys in the semifinals. I stick by that and don't see Barty losing a final in her home country. She's 2-0 in Grand Slam finals before this and I think that moves to 3-0.

The question here really is how fast does Barty win the match. She's won every match in straight sets, which seems like the safe play here. Those odds are set at -165. However, for even better odds, I'm going to look at the game count. Barty hasn't played more than 20 games in a match all tournament long. Her highest was 19 in the fourth round, but nobody else has pushed her to the limit.

Under 20 games with -105 odds seems like the best play here. Even if you want the hook at 20.5 games, those odds (-120) would be better than the ones for a straight set.

Lean: Under 20 (-105)

You can find Donnavan Smoot’s full betting record here.