Astros vs. Phillies Prediction and Odds for World Series Game 5 (Phillies Undervalued)

Nov 1, 2022; Philadelphia, Pennsylvania, USA; Philadelphia Phillies designated hitter Bryce Harper
Nov 1, 2022; Philadelphia, Pennsylvania, USA; Philadelphia Phillies designated hitter Bryce Harper / Bill Streicher-USA TODAY Sports

The Phillies were on the wrong side of the first ever combined no hitter in World Series history, but don't have time to dwell on it as they play Game 5 24 hours later at Citizens Bank Park.

The Phillies offense has played a big role in putting the team two wins away from their first World Series since 2008, but it was nowhere to be found on Wednesday night in the 5-0 loss to the Astros. Philadelphia will now have to face Astros ace Justin Verlander, but they did knock him around in Game 1 to the tune of five runs, will they get back on track on Thursday night?

Here are the odds for World Series Game 5:

Astros vs. Phillies Odds, Run Line and Total

Astros vs. Phillies Prediction and Pick

Verlander has well documented troubles in the World Series, a ghastly 6.07 ERA through eight starts in the Fall Classic with six losses and no wins, and I'm afraid he may be in for more trouble on Thursday.

The Phillies knocked the future Hall of Famer around in Game 1 of this series, tagging him for five runs in five innings on six hits. Philadelphia has thrived at home, posting the highest OPS in the postseason at home .849, including the no hitter in Game 4. With a ton of power in the lineup including Bryce Harper, Kyle Schwarber and Rhys Hoskins, the club has been explosive in the hitter friendly Citizens Bank Park.

Noah Syndergaard will be tasked with holding the Houston lineup down for at least once around the order. He has been converted into a stretch arm for the Phillies rotation this postseason, appearing once in the NLCS against the Padres, getting four outs in the process. Philadelphia's bullpen has been fantastic all postseason and were able to get through the final four innings clean after Aaron Nola and Jose Alvarado allowed five runs in five innings of combined work.

The Astros inability to find the long ball has been the issue, 29 runs on 11 home runs pales in comparison to the 42 runs on 17 dingers from Philly this postseason, and I think it costs them the pivotal Game 5.

I don't see a big difference between the two teams, especially with Verlander's checkered World Series past, so I'll take the home underdog.

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Game odds refresh periodically and are subject to change.