Astros vs. Twins Prediction and Odds for Tuesday, May 10 (Twins Prevail In Pitcher's Duel)

Jorge Polanco of the Twins
Jorge Polanco of the Twins / David Berding/GettyImages
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We've got a matchup of two flaming hot teams as the 18-11 Minnesota Twins host the 18-11 Houston Astros tonight at 7:40 PM EST.

Minnesota brings a three-game winning streak into this three-game series and is a ridiculous 14-3 over their last 17 contests.

Not to be outdone, the Astros have won seven straight after completing sweeps of the Tigers and Mariners. Justin Verlander will start for Houston and he's been sublime, throwing a quality start in each of his last four outings while compiling a sterling 1.93 ERA.

Verlander will be opposed by Joe Ryan, who quite possibly has been even better. Ryan has a 1.63 ERA across five starts and has surrendered just three runs total over his previous four.

Which team will stay hot in this battle of the titans? Can the 25-year-old Ryan upstage Verlander or will the wily old vet take him to school?

Here are the odds from WynnBET to help us find some value ahead of this exciting Astros vs Twins matchup:

Astros vs. Twins Odds, Run Line and Total

Run Line:

  • Astros: -1.5 (+130)
  • Twins: +1.5 (-160)

Moneyline:

  • Astros: -130
  • Twins: +120

Total:

  • 6.5 (Over -125/Under +105)

Astros vs. Twins Prediction and Pick

All of a sudden, the Astros and Twins are among the best teams in the American League. They've both been dominant of late, with exceptional pitching staffs smothering opponents. Houston ranks third in team ERA while the Twins are fourth, and they're both in the top five with their rotation and bullpens.

Today's starting pitching matchup is a doozy too. Justin Verlander needs no introduction, as he's one of only five pitchers ever to win an MVP and multiple Cy Young awards. The 39-year-old hasn't lost a step either, tossing a quality start in four straight outings while ranking in the 91st percentile in walk rate. His command is sensational, but Minnesota ranks ninth in OPS and will be the best lineup he's faced.

Houston will be among the best lineups Joe Ryan has faced too. Of the five teams he's pitched against, only Seattle (15th) ranks outside the bottom-10 in OPS. The Astros rank 18th, so they're hardly superb, but they're certainly a step up from the Royals and Tigers.

But Houston's offense is a bit concerning. They've scored three or fewer runs in six of their last nine, and the Tigers and Mariners pitching staffs aren't as strong as Minnesota's.

I think there's great value on the Twins to pull off the upset. The pitching matchup is essentially a wash, but Minnesota's lineup is much more dangerous than the Astros'. We should see a tight contest though, so I love the under as well. It's 3-0-1 in the Twins' last four and a ridiculous 12-2 in Houston's last 14. Those trends continue today in a narrow Minnesota victory.

Pick: Twins (+120) and Under 6.5 (+105)


Follow all of Joe Summers' betting picks here.