Austin Peay vs. Murray State Prediction and Odds (Racers Set to Keep Cashing)

A general view of the March Madness logo before game.
A general view of the March Madness logo before game. / Aaron Doster-USA TODAY Sports

Murray State has emerged as the mid-major powerhouse this season, up to No. 24 in KenPom's ranking and the AP Top 25. They are 24-2 on the year and tops in the Ohio Valley Conference, but that comes with being lined as massive favorites.

Take Thursday night, for example, as the Racers are gigantic favorites against 10-14 Austin Peay, who they beat by double digits on the road recently. Here are the odds for the conference matchup from WynnBET Sportsbook and we'll figure out if the market has shifted too far towards Murray State or there's still room to go.

Austin Peay vs. Murray State Odds, Spread and Total


  • Austin Peay: +18.5 (-110)
  • Murray State: -18.5 (-110)


  • Austin Peay: +1100
  • Murray State: -2500

Total: 130.5 (Over -110/Under -110)

Austin Peay vs. Murray State Prediction and Pick

Murray State should have little issue disposing of Austin Peay, who has a bottom 25 turnover percentage in the country. Murray State's defense is the best the OVC has to offer and is inside the top two in all defensive metrics such as effective field goal percentage allowed, turnovers forced and defensive rebound percentage.

While the Governors covered this spread at home a few weeks back, the Racers excellent offense that is top 10 nationally in offensive rebounding rate and has the size to dominate inside should see little resistance on their home court.

There's still room for this market to go as the Racers should continue to give the OVC hell with another blowout win.

LEAN: Murray State -18.5

All of Reed's college basketball plays can be tracked here, his best bets column for college basketball is 65-58-3 for +4.2 units.