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Ball State vs. Miami (OH) Prediction, Odds, Spread and Over/Under for College Football Week 13

By Reed Wallach

Sep 17, 2022; Cincinnati, Ohio, USA; Miami Redhawks wide receiver Jalen Walker (14) catches the ball
Sep 17, 2022; Cincinnati, Ohio, USA; Miami Redhawks wide receiver Jalen Walker (14) catches the ball / Katie Stratman-USA TODAY Sports
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Two teams seeking bowl eligibility in the final game of the season are set to do battle on Tuesday night.

Ball State and Miami (Ohio) each sit at 5-6 on the season, seeking their sixth win and a bowl bid in Week 13. Both teams have some injury concerns as they enter this final game, but motivation will be high with a postseason appearance on the line.

Here are the odds for Tuesday's regular season finale:

Ball State vs. Miami (Ohio) Odds, Spread and Total

Ball State vs. Miami (Ohio) Betting Trends

  • Miami (Ohio) is 1-3 against the spread (ATS) as a favorite this season
  • Miami (Ohio) has gone UNDER in all four games as a favorite this season
  • Ball State has gone UNDER in eight of 11 games this season

Ball State vs. Miami (Ohio) Prediction and Pick

A lot of this handicap will come down to Carson Steele's availability. The Cardinals workhorse running back left the team's loss to Ohio last week in the second quarter with concussion like symptoms and his status is up in the air for Tuesday's matchup.

Steele has rushed for 1,376 yards on the year with 12 rushing touchdowns, he is the Ball State offense. The team struggles to move the ball through the air with quarterback John Paddock, 104th in EPA/Pass this season. Overall, this Ball State team has relied on quick passes and for Steele to keep the chains moving.

Without their standout running back, this is a severely limited offense that will go up against a stout Miami (Ohio) defense that is allowed more than 24 points just once in MAC play.

The defense is one of the best in the MAC, allowing less than two points per drive this season and is 26th in yards allowed per rush. Even if Steele goes, the RedHawks can limit this offense with their ability to contain explosive plays (top 60 against both the pass and run) and win on the line of scrimmage (top 10 in line yards nationally).

As for the offense, Brett Gabbert has been in and out of the lineup this season due to injury but Aveon Smith has filled in admirably, leading the RedHawks to a win last week at Northern Illinois. The dual threat quarterback rushed for over 100 yards in the win last week.

If Gabbert returns, which there is no word on, then the Miami (Ohio) offense gets a jolt in the vertical passing game, but even so, the team has shown it can play with Smith under center.

With Steele's status in doubt, I can't comfortably take Ball State on the road against a Miami team that has the better defense and as much motivation to win as the visitors given each team sits at five wins.

Track all of Reed's bets at Betstamp HERE!

Game odds refresh periodically and are subject to change.

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