Baylor vs. BYU Prediction, Odds, Spread and Over/Under for College Football Week 2

Brigham Young Cougars quarterback Jaren Hall.
Brigham Young Cougars quarterback Jaren Hall. / Douglas DeFelice-USA TODAY Sports

Two teams with high hopes in 2022 meet in Provo, Utah on Saturday night.

BYU and Baylor meet for the second time in as many years in a battle for two team's that are planning on making a run to a New Year's Six bowl. BYU has a dynamic returning quarterback in Jaren Hall, who is protected by one of the best offensive lines in the nation, while Baylor looks to follow up on their Big 12 Championship in 2021 with a revamped roster and highly touted quarterback in Blake Shapen.

Baylor won this matchup 38-24 last season in Waco, can it go on the road and pull the upset?

Let's check out the odds from FanDuel Sportsbook

Baylor vs. BYU Odds, Spread and Total

BYU vs. Baylor Betting Trends

  • Baylor is 3-2 against the spread as a road underdog under Dave Aranda
  • Baylor went 10-4 ATS last season
  • BYU is 13-14 ATS as a home favorite with Kalani Sitake as head coach
  • BYU is 39-37 ATS under Sitake

BYU vs. Baylor Prediction and Pick

I broke down this game on The Early Reed on Tuesday (that you can find below).

BYU is a team I am high on heading int othe season while Baylor is a team I'm looking to sell. The Bears went 4-1 in one score games last season and had a dream season in the second year of Aranda's tenure, ending with a thrilling Big 12 title and a Sugar Bowl victory.

However, the team must replace its top three pass catchers, pair of starting running backs and the quarterback (which is reportedly an upgrade).

Aranda is a fantastic defensive game planner, so I expect him to have that side of the ball ready for the trip to Provo, but it will be a tough matchup against a BYU offense that has a dynamic quarterback in Hall, and the likely return of his No. 1 target Gunner Romney, who missed the Week 1 matchup against South Florida as he recovered from a hamstring injury.

Speaking of that Week 1 game, BYU hit the ground running, traveling to South Florida and dismantling them 50-21. The offense was electric, out-gaining the Bulls 575-293 and averaging over eight yards per play. The offense returns seven of its top eight from last season from an already elite unit (3.9% sack rate last season) and should have the Baylor defense on their heels.

On the other side of the ball, the Cougars return every starter from last season. While Baylor was able to score 38 on them at home in Waco, I'm not sure they can get to the high 20's or low 30's that will be needed to hold off this BYU offense. I think the Cougars make a national statement on Saturday night and take down the Bears.

PICK: BYU ML (-165)

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