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Baylor vs. Oklahoma Prediction, Odds, Spread and Over/Under for College Football Week 10

By Josh Yourish

OU head coach Brent Venables talks with defensive back Trey Morrison (6)
OU head coach Brent Venables talks with defensive back Trey Morrison (6) / BRYAN TERRY/THE OKLAHOMAN / USA TODAY
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Last year’s Big 12 Champion and the top ranked team in the conference coming in are both 5-3 and outside of the top 25. Brent Venables’ first year as the head man at Oklahoma is not going well, but a strong close to the season could turn things around heading into year 2. In Week 9, the Sooners got a 27-13 win on the road over Iowa State. Baylor has turned things around after back-to-back losses to Oklahoma State and West Virginia with two straight conference wins. Last week, 45-17 over Texas Tech. 

The Sooners are back at home and are favorites this week, so let’s go take a look at the odds for this Big 12 matchup. 

Baylor vs. Oklahoma Odds, Spread and Total

Baylor vs. Oklahoma Betting Trends

  • Baylor is 5-3 ATS
  • Oklahoma is 3-5 ATS
  • The Over is 6-2 in Baylor games
  • The Over is 5-0 in Baylor’s last five
  • Oklahoma is 0-4 ATS vs. teams with winning records
  • The Under is 4-0 in the last four meetings
  • Baylor is 4-0 ATS in last four meetings

Baylor vs. Oklahoma Prediction and Pick

Oklahoma’s defense was supposed to be fixed when Alex Grinch came onto Lincoln Riley’s staff, it wasn’t fixed. Now that Riley and Grinch are gone, Brent Venables was supposed to fix the defense.

Surprise, it’s still not fixed.

The Sooners are 113th in total defense, 114th against the run, and 90th against the pass. Last week, they looked better against Iowa State’s offense that is 107th in scoring, when they allowed just 13 points. That was the first game that Oklahoma has allowed less than 40 points since they played Kent State back on September 10th. 

Baylor’s defense is by no means great, but they are serviceable and that gives them a distinct advantage in this game. Blake Shapen has missed some time this season, but when he’s been on the field he’s been very solid for Baylor. Shapen has 13 touchdowns to five interceptions and completes 67% of his passes. That is more than enough for a team that runs for 201.5 yards per game. 

Last week, Richard Reese had 36 carries for the Bears and finished the game with 148 yards and three touchdowns. He is a true workhorse and will have a massive day against one of the worst defenses in the entire country.  

Pick: Baylor +140

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Game odds refresh periodically and are subject to change

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