Baylor vs. Oklahoma State Prediction, Odds and Spread for College Football Week 5

No. 21 Baylor is attempting a road upset against No. 19 Oklahoma State in Week 5.
No. 21 Baylor is attempting a road upset against No. 19 Oklahoma State in Week 5. / Scott Wachter-USA TODAY Sports

The No. 21 Baylor Bears and No. 19 Oklahoma State Cowboys are both 4-0, so which team will leave Boone Pickens Stadium in Stillwater with their first loss of the season?

Baylor picked up a victory at home in Waco last week, defeating the No. 14 Iowa State Cyclones, 31-29. Quarterback Gerry Bohanon played his usually efficient style, not throwing a single interception, and completing 14 of 19 passes for 158 yards and two touchdown passes. Despite having nine penalties, 22 less plays and 22 less minutes of possession time, the Bears were able to hang on for the two-point win.

Oklahoma State picked up a win against No. 25 Kansas State in Week 4, 31-20. It was the Cowboys first winning margin of double digits after beating FCS Missouri State by seven, Tulsa by five and Boise State by one. 

The focal point of the Kansas State offense was thwarted by Oklahoma State’s rushing defense, only gaining 62 yards on the ground, including a measly 22 yards on 13 carries by lead running back Deuce Vaughn.

Here are the odds for this Week 5 Big 12 matchup, courtesy of WynnBET Sportsbook.

Baylor vs. Oklahoma State Spread, Odds and Total


Baylor +3.5 (-110)

Oklahoma State -3.5 (-110)


Baylor +150

Oklahoma State -180


47.5 (Over -110/Under -110)

Baylor vs. Oklahoma State Prediction

Oklahoma State has a very solid rushing defense, ranked 34th in the country, and it did a great job last week against a Kansas State team that has averaged 184.8 rushing yards per game (79th in the country). But Baylor’s rushing attack currently ranks 13th in the country, averaging 270.5 rushing yards per game, and I believe the Bears ground attack can whittle down this defense. 

In a close matchup like this, it’s hard to ignore the play of the quarterbacks, as every offensive snap flows through them. The Cowboys starting quarterback Spencer Sanders has completed just 58.9 percent of his passes and is averaging just 199.7 yards per game. While Bohanon is averaging just 207 passing yards per game, he is completing 73 percent of his passes, moving his team down the field at a better rate.

I picked Baylor to upset Iowa State last week and I am picking them for another upset again this week. Baylor at +150 is the line I’m playing, and I’ll take the +3.5 point spread, too.

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