Baylor vs. TCU Prediction and Odds: The Horned Frogs Can Keep It Close

Mike Miles and TCU is set to host No.1 Baylor on Saturday afternoon.
Mike Miles and TCU is set to host No.1 Baylor on Saturday afternoon. / Jay Biggerstaff-USA TODAY Sports

The No. 1 Baylor Bears are the defending national champions, and are now one of only three division one teams that remain undefeated this college basketball season. At 14-0, they have more wins than the two other undefeated teams, Colorado State (11-0) and USC (13-0). Baylor is also a respectable 8-5-1 against the spread.

It will put its perfect record on the line when it takes on the 10-1 TCU Horned Frogs in Saturday afternoon Big 12 basketball action. This will be Baylor's third conference game, but it will serve as TCU's first.

Let's take a look at the odds for the game courtesy of WynnBET.

Baylor vs. TCU Odds, Spread, and Total


  • Baylor: -10 (-105)
  • TCU: +10 (-115)


  • Baylor: -510
  • TCU: +380


  • 140 (Over -110/Under -110)

Baylor vs. TCU Betting Trends

  • The OVER is 5-0 in Baylor's last five games.
  • Baylor is 4-1 ATS in its last five games vs. TCU.
  • TCU is 4-0-1 ATS in its last five games.
  • TCU is 2-7 ATS in its last nine games vs. Big 12 opponents.

Baylor vs. TCU Prediction and Pick

TCU's offense is nothing to write home about, ranking 236th in effective field goal percentage, but it matches up well against Baylor from a stylistic standpoint. TCU ranks 68th in two-point shot rate with 67.7% of their shots coming from two-point range. Meanwhile, Baylor's been vulnerable at times down low. 54.3% of the points scored against Baylor this season come from down low, which is the 74th highest rate in the country.

The Horned Frogs also have a stellar defense, ranking 24th in defensive efficiency compared. Baylor still ranks higher in that category at sixth, but the difference doesn't justify a double-digit spread.

TCU hasn't played since December 21st, and its lack of high-level competition this season are certainly causes for concern, but I'm going to wager on them keeping the final score within single-digits.

Pick: TCU +10