Bears vs. Falcons Prediction and Odds for NFL Week 11 (Get Early Week Value With Justin Fields Against Falcons)

Chicago Bears quarterback Justin Fields (1)
Chicago Bears quarterback Justin Fields (1) / Matt Marton-USA TODAY Sports

The 3-7 Chicago Bears are one of the most exciting teams in football because of Justin Fields. He has ascended out of nowhere and now looks like the next great quarterback in the NFL.

Fields went 12-for-20 for 167 yards and two touchdowns and ran for 147 yards and two TDs on a team high 13 carries. Yet, it was his lone interception, a pick-six that ultimately dug a hole too deep for him to climb out of in the 31-30 loss. 

Fields is conjuring up visions of a bigger, stronger Michael Vick and he fittingly heads down to Atlanta this week to face the 4-6 Falcons. Atlanta lost to Carolina on Thursday, 25-15, and will be well rested into this matchup. 

Bears vs. Falcons Odds, Spread and Total

Atlanta and Chicago Betting Trends

  • Atlanta is 6-4 ATS
  • Chicago is 4-5-1 ATS
  • The Over is 4-0 in Chicago’s last four
  • Atlanta is 0-4 ATS in last four games

Bears vs. Falcons Prediction and Pick

This new Justin Fields broke out four weeks ago against New England, when he sliced the Patriots defense for 33 points and the win. The Bears haven’t won a game since, but that is on their defense. The team traded away Roquan Smith and Robert Quinn, the best two players on that unit, for draft capital.

They are still amidst a rebuild, but they clearly got the most important piece right.

In the Bears last three games, the average point total has been 68.67 points. That is a ridiculous number that looks like it is going to continue. FIelds can’t be stopped and the Bears can’t stop anyone. Thursday night, the Falcons scored 15 points, but that was in a downpour in Carolina. 

Atlanta averages 23.2 points per game this season and even though there are concerns about Marcus Mariota after a disastrous Week 10, the Falcons will be able to score enough to hit the over. This is one to bet early in the week, because this number is going to shoot up. 

Pick: Over 48.5 (-110)

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Game odds refresh periodically and are subject to change