Bears vs. Lions Prediction, Odds, Against Spread and Over/Under for NFL Week 12

Thanksgiving and NFL football go together like turkey and mashed potatoes!

The 2021 NFL Thanksgiving Day slate starts off with an NFC North showdown between the Chicago Bears and the Detroit Lions. Neither team has much to play for this season, as they're both all but eliminated from the postseason picture.

The Lions will be seeking their first win of the season, while the Bears will try to make their 3-7 record look a little bit more respectable. Let's be honest, it's not the most intriguing matchup in the world, but you can make any game more exciting by having a little bit of action on it.

Here are the odds for the game, courtesy of WynnBET Sportsbook.

Bears vs. Lions Spread, Odds, and Total

Spread:

• Bears -3.5 (-115)
• Lions +3.5 (-105)

Moneyline:

• Bears -185
• Lions +165

Total:

• 41.5 (Over -110/Under -110)

Bears vs. Lions Betting Trends

• Bears are 1-4 ATS in their last five games.
• The UNDER is 7-2 in the Bears' last nine games.
• Bears are 5-2 ATS in their last seven games against the Lions.
• The UNDER is 7-1 in the Lions last eight games.
• Lions are 3-14 ATS in their last 17 games played in Week 12.

Bears vs. Lions Prediction and Pick

It's no secret that the Bears and Lions have two of the worst offenses in the NFL. The Bears rank 31st in yards per play, and the Lions are only slightly better, ranking 28th in that statistics. With those in mind, you may think that the UNDER is an obvious play, but before you lock in that bet, consider each teams defenses as well.

The Lions rank 29th in opponent yards per play, and while you might assume that the Bears defense is a dominant unit, that's not necessarily true. They rank 14th in opponent yards per play, 25th in opponent yards per rush attempt, and 15th in opponent yards per carry.

If sportsbooks are going to set a total at the low mark of 41.5, both defenses better be among the best in the NFL. That's not the case here, so I'm going to back the OVER in this Thanksgiving Day matchup.

Pick: OVER 41.5