Another AFC playoff game, and another rematch opportunity for the Kansas City Chiefs.
But this time, it's in their house.
Fresh off perhaps one of the greatest playoff games of all-time in an epic 42-36 overtime win over the Buffalo Bills, the Chiefs host their fourth consecutive AFC Championship game at Arrowhead Stadium when they welcome the No. 4 seed Cincinnati Bengals in the afternoon game next Sunday at 3:00 p.m. ET.
Back in Week 17, the Chiefs built up a 28-14 lead late in the first half, only to see it evaporate in the second with the Bengals rallying for a 34-31 home win.
Now that the matchup moves to Kansas City for a spot in Super Bowl 56 on the line, here's how the odds opened up for the AFC Championship game at WynnBET Sportsbook.
Bengals vs. Chiefs Odds, Spread and Total
- Bengals +6.5 (now up to +7) (-110)
- Chiefs -6.5 (now up to -7) (-110)
- Bengals +265
- Chiefs -330
- 51.5 (up to 53.5)
- OVER (-110) | UNDER (-110)
Bengals vs. Chiefs Prediction and Pick
I'm still recovering from what I just saw in the Chiefs six-point overtime win; covering the 2.5-point spread in the process. While I expect Kansas City to take care of business next week, I think the better bet is on the total, notably the OVER of 53.
The Chiefs have the talent to cover the spread easily in this game from an offensive standpoint. It's the defense that has me concerned for what the Bengals' offensive playmakers can do especially without safety Tyrann Mathieu potentially in the mix.
Mathieu left the game against the Bills early with a head injury and was ruled out for the remainder of the game as he entered concussion protocol. What happened next was Buffalo turning Gabriel Davis into the second coming of Jerry Rice; catching eight balls, four of them for touchdowns on 201 yards receiving. Davis, according to NFL.com became the only player in the Super Bowl era to catch over 200 yards and four-plus touchdowns
If you think that was a random one-hit wonder, let's not forget that Ja'Marr Chase caught 11 balls for 266 yards and three touchdowns on Kansas City's secondary just three weeks ago. Yikes.
As for the Chiefs' offense, the Bengals are 19th in total DVOA: defense according to the Football Outsiders' metric; and 24th vs. the pass. The Bills, who the Chiefs just dropped 42 on with ease, were ranked No. 1 in the league. As long as Kansas City doesn't let up like they did a few weeks ago, they should easily move the ball on the Bengals.
WIth weather in the mid-to-high 40's and clear sunny skies in the forecast next Sunday in K.C., expect plenty of scoring as both offenses flex their muscles all game long.
LEAN: OVER 53 (-110)