Best Bets and Predictions for UFC 267
By Reed Wallach
The UFC is back on Fight Island with a FREE pay-per-view on ESPN, UFC 267, headlined by TWO title fights.
Petr Yan and Cory Sandhagen will meet for the interim bantamweight title, while Jan Blachowicz puts his light heavyweight title on the line against veteran Glover Teixeira.
Those two, and 12 fights make up the UFC 267 card, so let's get to some of our favorite bets, with odds courtesy of WynnBET Sportsbook.
Main Event: Jan Blachowicz (-300) vs. Glover Teixeira (+238)
Teixeria's late career resurgence has been admirable, but Blachowicz has taken his skill to another level. While Teixeria is a strong grappler, the champ is a black belt in Brazilian Jiu-Jitsu, so he should be able to withstand grappling exchanges, if not thrive. He also owns the power striking department, making him a knockout threat in this one against the elder Teixeira.
This fight can go in several different directions, and I'm not interested in laying the price on the Polish champion. However, I do see him as the right side and willing to play him to win by KO at +100.
A fight script to follow was the Anthony Smith one for Teixeira. He trailed early before taking over against an exhausted Smith, winning a violent knockout. Blachowicz has the stamina and power to keep up a pace and finish the 42 year old challenger.
Pick: Blachowicz by KO (+100)
Co-Main Event: Petr Yan (-215) vs. Cory Sandhagen (+170)
Yan is fighting for the first time since he was disqualified defending his bantamweight title against Aljamain Sterling. Despite losing the title, Yan is still the best bantamweight in the world in my opinion, and he'll remind people on Saturday.
He will face a tough opponent in Sandhagen, who has a ton of length and power to finish a fight, but not enough to put out the former champ. Yan is a heavy favorite, making it difficult to play this one.
Sandhagen is one of the toughest dudes in the promotion, so I'm going to split my bet with two outcomes.
While submission my seem unlikely, the former champion is a fantastic grappler and capable of getting this to the ground at times. In ground exchanges, he can definitely slip a choke and finish this fight. +1700 translates to about 5%, which is too far off in my opinion. It's worth a sprinkle.
The other outcome I'm playing is decision in a violent back and forth fight. Yan may not have the best cardio, but he has the good to see his arm raised on the cards.
Pick: Yan by Submission (+1700) and Yan by Decision (+170) for .5U each
Prelim Bet: Makwan Amirkhani (+240) vs. Lerone Murphy (-310)
I love Amirkhani in this spot. Murphy is 10-0-1 in his career, but has never faced a grappling talent like Amirkhani.
Amirkhani has won 11 of his 16 fights by submission, and is averaging more than three takedowns per 15 minutes. Murphy, in his limited UFC sample has a 41% takedown defense making him vulnerable to getting put on the mat. If this hits the ground, and it will, Murphy may be finished soon after.
With immense talent and a clear path to victory, I'm all over Amirkhani, and I really like him to win by submission (especially in round 1) as a prop bet when those become available.
Pick: Amirkhani (+240)