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Daily DInger: Best Home Run Picks Today (Delightful Day for Dingers with Roof Open in Milwaukee)

By Ben Heisler, Joe Summers, Peter Dewey

Toronto Blue Jays first baseman Vladimir Guerrero Jr. should be all smiles on Sunday when he faces Chi Chi Gonzalez of the Milwaukee Brewers.
Toronto Blue Jays first baseman Vladimir Guerrero Jr. should be all smiles on Sunday when he faces Chi Chi Gonzalez of the Milwaukee Brewers. / Dan Hamilton-USA TODAY Sports
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The BetSided team on Saturday swung and missed on both their "Daily Dinger" home run prop bet picks. Both Juan Soto of the Washington Nationals, as well as Carlos Correa of the Minnesota Twins weren't able to leave the yard, but with 20-plus mph winds in the Twin Cities this afternoon, one of us is going right back to Target Field for Sunday's top home run props.

Ben Heisler, Peter Dewey and Joe Summers share their favorite picks for Sunday's afternoon slate to knock one out of the park, with all odds courtesy of WynnBET, or consensus sportsbooks if not available at Wynn.

Top Home Run Picks Today

  • Rafael Devers (+270)
  • Max Kepler (+550)
  • Vladimir Guerrero Jr. (+245) - available at WynnBET Sportsbook

Rafael Devers (+270) - Boston Red Sox at Cleveland Guardians

I’m fading Guardians starter Aaron Civale on Sunday against a hot-hitting Red Sox team and AL MVP candidate Rafael Devers.

Devers is hitting .330/.386/.606 on the season with 17 home runs, and now faces a starter with a 7.25 ERA.

Civale has allowed six homers in eight starts this season.Boston has several candidates to go yard, but I’ll play it safe with the hot-hitting Devers. -- Peter Dewey

Max Kepler (+550) - Minnesota Twins vs. Colorado Rockies

If you read up on the BetSided MLB Weather Report today, you may have noticed that it is a dream spot to hit at Target Field in Minneapolis today. The winds are blowing way out to right-center field at upwards of 20 mph this afternoon, and with the temperature 71 degrees with sunny skies at first pitch, I'll back Max Kepler at unbelievable odds on the board.

Kepler's natural swing from the left side goes directly to the area where the wind is blowing out furthest. He's coming off a two-walk game, and has an average exit velocity off balls put in play of just under 100 mph in his last three games. He also faces Rockies starter Ryan Feltner who carries a 1.82 HR/9 into today's matchup.

The other "Mad Max" has hit six of his seven home runs at home, with six of them coming against right-handed pitching. His isolated power at home this year is over .200, and the ballpark conditions are perfect for him to go yard at exceptional value. -- Ben Heisler

Vladimir Guerrero Jr. (+245) - Toronto Blue Jays at Milwaukee Brewers

On the seventh day, Vladimir Guerrero Jr. blasted dingers.

Vladdy drilled a home run each of the last two Sundays and I love his chances to make it three straight against Chi Chi Gonzalez today.

Gonzalez already surrendered three home runs in his three starts this year as his fastball, changeup and sinker are getting blasted. Well, Guerrero Jr. destroys fastballs and has a hard hit percentage over 50% against sinkers.

Heavy winds are blowing out to center field and with a high total on the board, there's tons of opportunity for home runs all day.

Vladdy doesn't have a home run since last Sunday, so he's due. At +250 against one of the worst starters in MLB with weather pushing the ball out of the stadium, Guerrero Jr. represents my favorite value on the board to blast a home run this afternoon. -- Joe Summers

Don't forget, you can always follow along with our daily standings in the BetSided "Daily Dinger" game HERE.

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