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Daily Dinger: Best Home Run Prop Bet Picks for Today (Mariners to Mash in Toronto vs. Blue Jays)

By Ben Heisler, Iain MacMillan, Peter Dewey, Reed Wallach

Seattle Mariners first baseman Ty France gets a hug following a home run by his teammates.
Seattle Mariners first baseman Ty France gets a hug following a home run by his teammates. / Joe Nicholson-USA TODAY Sports
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The BetSided "Daily Dinger" crew finished off an excellent week, projecting a player to go yard in five of the last eight days, including multiple picks hitting last Tuesday and Wednesday.

Both C.J. Cron and Salvador Perez drove in a run in Denver on Sunday, but neither of them left the ballpark on Sunday as we went 0 for 2 to wrap up last week.

Time to turn the page and begin the search for which player makes for the best bet to hit a home run. With a 13-game slate at hand, there's several notable options worth considering.

Here are our top home run prop bet picks for Monday, May 16, 2022.

During the 2022 MLB season, the BetSided team of editors shares our top home run prop bet picks each day in the "Daily Dinger."

WynnBET Sportsbook offers home run prop bet odds for several players across every game, but not every batter listed in the article is made available. Bettors can still wager on these matchups, as well as bet on multiple unique prop bets offered for each game. For the latest up-to-date odds, visit WynnBET Sportsbook here.

Odds shown are consensus if they are not made available at WynnBET. If listed as TBD, it means odds have not been offered as of this writing.

Best Home Run Prop Bet Picks for Monday, May 16

  • Aaron Judge (+330) - available at WynnBET
  • Ty France (+650)
  • Mike Ford (TBD)
  • C.J. Cron (+240) - available at WynnBET

Aaron Judge (+330) - New York Yankees at Baltimore Orioles

You can really pick just about any Yankee to go yard these days, as the team is tied for the league lead with 49 homers, but why not go with old reliable Aaron Judge?

Judge already has 12 bombs this season, and he’s been dominant against the Orioles in his career, hitting 28 homers in 75 career games. Yeah, that’s insane.

Tonight, Judge will face youngster Kyle Bradish, who has already allowed three homers in three starts this season. Someone is going yard for the Yanks, and I like Judge’s chances to come through the best.

i will ride Aaron Judge to a "Daily Dinger" crown by seasons end. -- Peter Dewey

Ty France (+650) - Seattle Mariners vs. Toronto Blue Jays

France has been a stalwart of the Mariners lineup, hitting .331 on the year and leading baseball in hits (46), but he hasn't been going deep lately.

He doesn't have a homer in more than 2 weeks, and I like the matchup on Monday night against Yusei Kikuchi at the Rogers Centre. Kikuchi is allowing a homer on nearly 17% of fly balls in play.

France has rocked lefties over his career, hitting .279 and has nearly as many homers against southpaws as he does righties. -- Reed Wallach

Mike Ford (TBD) - Seattle Mariners vs. Toronto Blue Jays

Mike Ford is playing in his fourth game as a Seattle Mariner, and he's going to hit his first home run of the season tonight (or at least I think he will).

Despite Yusei Kikuchi coming off two straight solid starts, I don't trust him, as he seems to be a boom or bust pitcher. He's also allowed 1.4 home runs per nine innings.

Ford is a power hitter, so I think he can go yard today for his first as a Mariner. Its a bit of a bold call, but let's get crazy with it. -- Iain MacMillan

C.J. Cron (+240) - Colorado Rockies vs. San Francisco Giants

Peter's Sunday selection of Rockies slugger C.J. Cron against left-hander Jordan Lynch and the Royals was a good one, but ultimately came up short. I don't expect that to be the case today.

The San Francisco Giants come off their Sunday night beat down vs. the St. Louis Cardinals into Denver where another left-hander, Alex Wood, gets the assignment. Wood hasn't been bad this season, pitching to a 3.60 ERA through six starts, but his expected ERA (xERA) is almost a full run higher at Fangraphs at 4.49, so we could see some ugly regression coming, especially at hitter-friendly Coors Field.

Cron owns an isolated power (ISO), which is your slugging percentage minus batting average of .333 vs. left-handers this year. The average major leaguer owns an ISO of roughly .140. At home, his wOBA is just under .500! League average is .320.

Peter was ahead by just a day, so I'll take advantage tonight. -- Ben Heisler

Follow along with our updated Daily Dinger record for the season HERE

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