The Philadelphia Phillies played their own version of "Home Run Derby" on Tuesday night, with four different batters leaving the ballpark in their 7-0 victory over the Houston Astros in Game 3.
They weren't the only ones celebrating their victory, as both BetSided's Peter Dewey and Donnavan Smoot hit on their picks of Bryce Harper (+360) and Kyle Schwarber (+290) in our "Daily Dinger" anytime home run contest for the postseason.
The Phillies now lead the series 2-1 and that's a very good sign for their World Series chances to win it all. As BetSided's Brian Giuffra points out, 81% of teams up 2-1 have gone on to win the Fall Classic since 1987.
With a 'pick em matchup set for tonight in Game 4, which players are best set to club one out of Citizens Bank Park this evening?
Below are our top betting props for an anytime home run this evening as right-hander Cristian Javier of the Astros faces fellow right-hander Aaron Nola of the Phillies.
Best Home Run Picks Today for Astros-Phillies World Series Game 4
Kyle Tucker (+625)
The Houston Astros are in desperate need to even the series with the Philadelphia Phillies in Game 4, and they’ll need something out of their right fielder, Kyle Tucker, on offense.
Tucker dominated in Game 1, picking up four hits and homering off of Aaron Nola, but he has yet to pick up a hit since. With Nola back on the mound in Game 4, I think Tucker has a chance to get back on track.
Nola has allowed 11 runs on 13 hits in his last two postseason starts, so the Astros offense could tee off in this game. Tucker has crazy odds (+625) for a power hitter that has already gone yard in this series.– Peter Dewey
Find Peter Dewey’s full betting record here.
Alex Bregman (+650)
With Game 3 originally being delayed due to weather, the Phillies have the opportunity to go back to Aaron Nola earlier than they expected. With him getting the start tonight, we need to eye a batter on the Astros who performs better against righties than lefties.
That player, for me, is going to be Alex Bregman. His slugging numbers increase from .358 against lefties this season, to .504 against righties. He also already has a home run this season, hitting one in the Astros Game 2 win. I’ll gladly back him at +450 to hit another tonight. – Iain MacMillan
You can track Iain's bets on Betstamp here.
Chas McCormick (+680)
McCormick was on fire during the ALCS, hitting two homers during the series. His presence hasn’t been as felt through the first three games of the World Series, but it’s all hands on deck tonight. McCormick has hit a majority of his home runs against righties, and will face Aaron Nola for the second time. With a look at Nola already, I’m expecting McCormick to bounce back. – Donnavan Smoot
You can find Donnavan Smoot’s full betting record here.
Brandon Marsh (+1100)
Legends are made in October, but Marsh is making a name for himself in November in Philadelphia, reminding many of us of when Jayson Werth patrolled the outfield in Philadelphia the last time they won a World Series in 2009.
Marsh has super long odds to go deep in Game 4, but I'm not entirely sure why. He's already gone deep in this postseason like several of his teammates vs. Lance McCullers last night, and has seen Astros starter Cristian Javier by far the most of anyone.
While a limited sample, the results are very good: seven plate appearances, with four hits, one for extra bases for a .571 BA and .714 SLG.
Javier's struggles most vs. left-handed hitters, and with the Astros not wanting to take many chances with Kyle Schwarber hitting ahead of him (as well as Bryce Harper a few batters later), I think Marsh can get a hold of another one tonight vs. a pitcher he's excelled against. - Ben Heisler
Follow all of Ben's betting plays in real-time HERE!
Game odds refresh periodically and are subject to change.