Daily Dinger: Best Home Run Prop Bet Picks Today (Back Bronx Bombers' Bats at Home vs. Blue Jays)

New York Yankees outfielder Aaron Judge celebrates with teammate Gleyber Torres. Judge is tied for first in baseball with nine home runs.
New York Yankees outfielder Aaron Judge celebrates with teammate Gleyber Torres. Judge is tied for first in baseball with nine home runs. / Vincent Carchietta-USA TODAY Sports
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Aside from today's doubleheader between the Oakland A's and Detroit Tigers, we've got a full Major League evening slate for Tuesday.

The crew has gone cold the last few days, but then again, so have Major League hitters!

With the weather warming up, let's see if we can go yard and cash in on some nicely priced home run props. Here are our favorites for Tuesday, May 10, 2022.


During 2022 MLB season, the BetSided team of editors goes through and shares our favorite home run prop bet picks of the day in the "Daily DInger."

WynnBET Sportsbook offers home run prop bet odds for several players across every game, but not every batter listed is always available. Bettors can still wager on these games, as well as bet on multiple unique prop bets offered for each matchup.

Odds shown are consensus if they are not made available at WynnBET. If listed as TBD, it means odds have not been offered as of this writing.

Best Home Run Prop Bet Picks for Tuesday, May 10

  • Aaron Judge (+325) - available at WynnBET
  • Josh Donaldson (+345) - available at WynnBET
  • Michael Brantley (+600)
  • Yandy Diaz (+435) - available at WynnBET

Aaron Judge (+325) - New York Yankees vs. Toronto Blue Jays

Aaron Judge and the New York Yankees were shut down by Yusei Kikuchi the last time they faced the Toronto Blue Jays, but I think that changes tonight.

Kikuchi has allowed four homers in five starts this season, and he has a middling 4.35 ERA. Judge has faced Kikuchi 11 times in his career and has already homered off of him twice.

I love this matchup, especially with the short porch in Yankee Stadium, for Judge to find the seats on Tuesday. -- Peter Dewey


All rise.

Judge rakes againts lefties, hitting four homers vs. southpaws while crushing five against right handed pitching. He's at home at Yankee Stadium where he has hit nearly .300 with 5 deep flies this season and faces Yusei Kikuchi; allowing a home run on more than 22% of fly balls allowed.

This is a bad matchup for the Blue Jays starter and I'll ride with the red-hot Judge to go deep. -- Reed Wallach

Josh Donaldson (+345) - New York Yankees vs. Toronto Blue Jays

My guys Peter and Reed took a great selection in Aaron Judge, but I think there's just as much value on Josh Donaldson to go deep vs. Kikuchi in The Bronx.

He's riding a 10-game hit streak, and like his teammate Judge, destroys left-handed pitching. Against left-handers, Donaldson has a weighted on-base average (wOBA) of .395, and an isolated power (ISO) of 0.286! For reference, an average wOBA sits around .320, and a decent ISO is 0.14!

He gets plenty of protection in the lineup with Judge and Stanton ahead of him, so Kikuchi will have to face some power right-hander one way or the other. If he decides to pitch around the former, that leaves Donaldson with some juicy spots at the dish. -- Ben Heisler

Michael Brantley (+600) - Houston Astros at Minnesota Twins

I’m going far down the list for this prop.

Brantley has only hit two homers this season, but he has my vote of confidence tonight. He’s been making good contact with the ball lately, giving me hope he can show out against his old teammate Carlos Correa. The Astros are third in the league in home runs per game.

Brantley has some of the best value on the team, so let’s take a chance tonight. -- Donnavan Smoot

Yandy Diaz (+435) - Tampa Bay Rays at Los Angeles Angels

I'm taking a shot today on a guy who's not exactly known for home runs, but who is having a great year at the plate regardless.

Yandy Diaz of the Rays is batting .287 with an OPS of .806, both marks are significant imrpvoements on last year. He only has two home runs on the season, but if he keeps batting with those numbers, it's only a matter of time until he hits a third.

The Rays face Angels start Reid Detmers tonight, who has a 5.32 ERA and is allowing 1.2 home runs per nine innings this season. I'll back Diaz as a long shot to go yard today. -- Iain MacMillan


Follow along with our team's updated Daily Dinger record for the season HERE