Daily Dinger: Best Home Run Prop Bet Picks Today (Red Sox Hitters Run it Up vs. Berríos, Blue Jays)
BetSided's Iain MacMillan got back on the board in Tuesday's "Daily Dinger" predictions, as Houston Astros third baseman Alex Bregman launched a pitch into the Crawford boxes in last night's home win over the Minnesota Twins.
Alex Bregman was hitting .214 with a .694 OPS over his first 61 games. Since then, he’s hitting .318 with a .994 OPS, 19 doubles, 13 homers and 46 RBI in 58 games. He’s 5th in MLB in OPS and 4th in XBH over that span. pic.twitter.com/4mLMGxs20u
— Jared Carrabis (@Jared_Carrabis) August 24, 2022
With two wins in our last two days, who will be the next Big Leaguer to slug one out of the park for us at big odds?
Here are our favorite MLB home run betting prop picks for Wednesday's slate of games.
Don't forget, you can follow along in our team standings all season long HERE!
Best Home Run Picks Today
- Nathaniel Lowe (+490) - Caesars Sportsbook
- Josh Bell (+475) - FanDuel Sportsbook
- Julio Rodriguez (+280) – PointsBet Sportsbook
- Rafael Devers (+350) – PointsBet Sportsbook
- Alex Verdugo (+800) - DraftKings Sportsbook
Nathaniel Lowe (+490) - Texas Rangers vs. Colorado Rockies
Lowe is red hot at the plate for a while now and nobody is talking about it. Maybe it’s because the Rangers are well out of the AL Wild Card race, but sports bettors should be taking note.
The lefty is hitting .363 over the last 27 starts with five home runs, and I like his chances at Coors Field on Wednesday. Lowe is tasked with facing José Ureña, who has allowed seven homers in six starts since the All-Star Break. With the ball flying in Denver, I’ll take the red hot Lowe to crush another.- Reed Wallach
Track all of Reed's bets at Betstamp HERE!
Josh Bell (+475) - San Diego Padres vs. Cleveland Guardians
We have a rare wind-game at Petco Park today with the wind blowing out to right-center field at more than 10 mph this afternoon.
With Juan Soto out of the lineup, I’ll back the switch-hitting Josh Bell at excellent odds to take on out against Cal Quantrill and company.
After a tough start in August, Bell’s starting to heat up, with two home runs in his last three games. Quantrill’s had a solid season with a 3.77 ERA, but his Fielder Independent Pitching (FIP) of 4.44 indicates some regression ahead.
He’s also given up eight home runs this season to left-handed hitters in 58.2 innings, compared to just nine vs. righties in 77.1 IP.
Between the terrific weather, Bell’s bat heating up, and very good odds for Bell, I’ll jump on board with the Padres’ slugger to get it done.
Follow all of Ben’s betting plays in real-time HERE!
Julio Rodriguez (+280) – Seattle Mariners vs. Washington Nationals
Annibal Sanchez is on the mound today for the Nationals and that means one thing: Someone is going to hit a home run.
That someone is none other than Julio Rodriguez. He’s hit 19 home runs on the year and has hit one in his last six games. Sanchez has given up a home run in each start this season – which comes out to 11 in seven starts.
Rodriguez has hit 14 of his 19 home runs this year against righties and has home field advantage to give him a boost. – Donnavan Smoot
You can find Donnavan Smoot’s full betting record here.
Rafael Devers (+350) – Boston Red Sox vs. Toronto Blue Jays
It’s my favorite day of the week for Daily Dinger, because it’s the day we get to fade José Berríos!
The Toronto Blue Jays righty has been horrible at avoiding the long-ball this season, giving up 26 homers in 24 starts, and he’s allowed a homer in seven of his last eight outings.
Devers has taken Berríos deep before in his career, and the Red Sox slugger is coming off a three-hit game on Tuesday night. Devers is always a solid bet to go yard (he has 25 homers this season), and I think this is a favorable matchup for him on Wednesday. – Peter Dewey
Find Peter Dewey’s full betting record here.
Alex Verdugo (+800) - Toronto Blue Jays at Boston Red Sox
I hit my dinger last night on Alex Bregman, so let’s go with another Alex tonight.
I hate to fade my boy Jose Berrios, but he’s given up 1.8 home runs per nine innings this season, so he’s a good pitcher to fade if you’re looking for a home run prop.
Obviously, at +800, Verdugo is a massive longshot. He’s only hit seven home runs this season, and he hasn’t hit a dinger since August 6th. But, I’m in a “go big or go home mood”, so let’s go for a wild longshot tonight for a big payout. - Iain MacMillan
You can track Iain's bets on Betstamp here.