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Daily Dinger: Best Home Run Prop Bet Picks Today (Shohei Ohtani Has Figured Out Frankie Montas)

By Ben Heisler, Peter Dewey, Reed Wallach

Los Angeles Angels designated hitter Shohei Ohtani has three career home runs in 21 ABs, hitting .381 lifetime vs. New York Yankees SP Frankie Montas.
Los Angeles Angels designated hitter Shohei Ohtani has three career home runs in 21 ABs, hitting .381 lifetime vs. New York Yankees SP Frankie Montas. / Nick Turchiaro-USA TODAY Sports
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After hitting on our first four "Daily Dinger" prop bets Monday-Thursday of this week, our run of success came to an end over the weekend, going 0-2 on the day.

With plenty of favorable hitting weather across the Big Leagues to start the new week, let's look to get back in the win column tonight!

Here are the BetSided team of editors' favorite MLB home run prop bet picks on the board this Monday. Remember, you can follow along in our team standings all season long HERE!

Best Home Run Picks Today

Nolan Arenado - St. Louis Cardinals at Cincinnati Reds

The St. Louis Cardinals continue to be the best show in baseball offensively, and they have an extremely favorable pitching matchup on Monday, taking on newly-signed righty Chase Anderson and the Cincinnati Reds. 

Arenado is red-hot right now, going 5-for-8 with a homer since returning to the lineup following the birth of his child. He’s about as good a bet as anyone to go deep in this one, as Anderson was out of MLB for a reason. 

Over his last two Major League seasons, Anderson has allowed 21 homers in 24 games (16 starts) and has an ERA of 6.94. The Reds are just throwing darts with their pitching staff at this point, and their bullpen is also one of the worst in MLB. 

Expect a ton of runs, and a few long balls for the Cards tonight. – Peter Dewey

Find Peter Dewey’s full betting record here.

Shohei Ohtani - Los Angeles Angels vs. New York Yankees

The top two MVP candidates will share the field on Monday night, and I think Ohtani gets a leg up on Aaron Judge in the series opener. 

Ohtani has quietly been scorching at the dish, hitting .303 in the month of August with six homers to his name, and now gets a familiar face in Frankie Montas, who he has crushed in the past. 

The former Athletics pitcher has struggled since joining the Yankees, posting a 7.32 ERA in four starts, but he has plenty of poor memories against Ohtani. The Angels slugger is batting .429 in 21 at bats against Montas with three home runs. 

He went yard on Sunday, and I think he does it again as the MVP race continues to tighten heading into the final season. 

Track all of Reed's bets at Betstamp HERE!

Aaron Judge - New York Yankees vs. Los Angeles Angels

If all the networks are leaning into Ohtani vs. Judge tonight in Anaheim, why can't we do the same?

Judge has been a bit all-or-nothing lately, with three home runs in his last six games, but has also gone 0-for in his last two games. This evening, he'll face lefty José Suarez, which should get the confidence back up and running.

Granted, he's smoked the ball against both left-handers and right-handers alike, but his isolated power is actually higher vs. lefties this season by a decent margin (.028), and Suarez can get a little too happy in the zone at times, leading to some crushed balls leaving the yard.

I still think Ohtani should be MVP, but I'll back Judge to launch one in very favorable conditions at the Big A tonight.

Follow all of Ben's betting plays in real-time HERE!

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