Best MLB Betting Trends for Thursday, July 11 (Trends Point to Red Sox Dominating A's in Boston)

Thursday's MLB action begins early, with a handful of afternoon games as the All-Star game approaches. What does the betting data suggest for today's matchups?

Check out the MLB betting trends for games on Thursday, July 11, 2024.

Thursday's MLB Schedule

• Washington Nationals at New York Mets (-140, 8.5) - 1:10 p.m.
• Colorado Rockies at Cincinnati Reds (-200, 9) - 1:10 p.m.
• Cleveland Guardians at Detroit Tigers (-135, 8) - 1:10 p.m.
• Pittsburgh Pirates (-125, 7.5) at Milwaukee Brewers - 2:10 p.m.
• Toronto Blue Jays at San Francisco Giants (-125, 7.5) - 3:45 p.m.
• Los Angeles Dodgers at Philadelphia Phillies (-150, 9) - 6:05 p.m.
• Chicago Cubs at Baltimore Orioles (-130, 8.5) - 6:35 p.m.
• New York Yankees (-120, 8) at Tampa Bay Rays - 6:50 p.m.
• Oakland Athletics at Boston Red Sox (-220, 10) - 7:10 p.m.
• Miami Marlins at Houston Astros (-200, 8.5) - 8:10 p.m.
• Seattle Mariners (-165, 8.5) at Los Angeles Angels - 9:38 p.m.
• Atlanta Braves (-150, 8) at Arizona Diamondbacks - 9:40 p.m. 

Odds via DraftKings Sportsbook.

Nationals at Mets Betting Trends

Venue Stats: Citi Field - 8.7 runs per game; 22-25 O/U

• New York has won 10 straight divisional home games when playing on a Thursday. New York is the favorite given a 58.3% chance to beat Washington.

• New York has covered the run line in four straight home games when facing the NL. New York faces Washington with a 40.8% chance to cover -1.5-runs.

• New York has gone Over in seven of eight home games.

Rockies at Reds Betting Trends

Venue Stats: Great American Ball Park - 8.7 runs per game; 19-27-3 O/U

• Cincinnati has won 10 straight games when facing Colorado as the favorite and coming off a home loss. Cincinnati is the favorite with a 66.1% chance to win.

• Cincinnati has covered the run line in four of five games when facing Colorado and is given a 48.8% chance to cover -1.5-runs.

• Cincinnati has gone Under in seven of eight games when facing the NL during the daytime.

Guardians at Tigers Betting Trends

Venue Stats: Comerica Park - 8.7 runs per game; 24-19-1 O/U

• Detroit has lost seven straight games when coming off a home win. Detroit is the favorite despite this, given a 57.4% chance to beat Cleveland.

• Detroit has covered the run line in eight straight games when facing Cleveland and is given a 39.2% chance to cover -1.5-runs.

• Detroit has gone Over in seven of eight games against the AL.

Pirates at Brewers Betting Trends

Venue Stats: American Family Field - 9.3 runs per game; 26-14-2 O/U

• Milwaukee has won eight straight divisional home games when playing on a Thursday. Milwaukee is the underdog despite this, given a 48.8% chance to beat Pittsburgh.

• Milwaukee has covered the run line in five straight divisional games as the underdog. Milwaukee is the underdog against Pittsburgh given a 60.8% chance to cover +1.5-runs.

• Pittsburgh has gone Under in six straight divisional games during the daytime.

Blue Jays at Giants Betting Trends

Venue Stats: Oracle Park - 8.9 runs per game; 22-23-1 O/U

• San Francisco has won six straight games when facing an AL East team under .500 during the daytime. San Francisco is the favorite given a 55% chance to beat Toronto.

• Toronto has covered the run line in seven straight road games as the underdog. Toronto is the road underdog given a 68.8% chance to cover +1.5-runs.

• San Francisco has gone Over in eight straight games when playing on a back-to-back during the daytime.

Dodgers at Phillies Betting Trends

Venue Stats: Citizens Bank Park - 8.8 runs per game; 21-24-3 O/U

• The home team has won eight of nine games between Los Angeles and Philadelphia. Philadelphia is home and the favorite, given a 59.7% chance to win.

• The home team has covered the run line in three of five games between Los Angeles and Philadelphia. Philadelphia is home with a 43.5% chance to cover -1.5-runs.

• Los Angeles has gone Over in 11 of 12 games vs the NL when playing at night.

Cubs at Orioles Betting Trends

Venue Stats: Oriole Park at Camden Yards - 8.8 runs per game; 23-19-6 O/U

• Baltimore has seen the underdog win four straight home games when facing Chicago. Chicago is the underdog given a 47.6% chance to win.

• Baltimore has dropped the run line in five straight home games and faces Chicago with a 39.2% chance to cover -1.5-runs.

• Chicago has gone Under in seven of eight games against the AL.

Yankees at Rays Betting Trends

Venue Stats: Tropicana Field - 8.3 runs per game; 24-22-4 O/U

• New York has lost seven straight games when playing as the favorite and coming off a win. New York faces Tampa Bay with a 54.5% chance to win as the favorite.

• New York has failed to cover the urn line in seven straight games when coming off a win. New York faces Tampa Bay with a 41.7% chance to cover +1.5-runs.

• New York has gone Over in seven of eight road games on a back-to-back.

Athletics at Red Sox Betting Trends

Venue Stats: Fenway Park - 9.3 runs per game; 20-21-4 O/U

• Oakland has lost 22 of 24 road games when playing on a back-to-back. Oakland faces Boston as the underdog given a 35.7% chance to win.

• Oakland has covered the run line in three of four games when facing Boston and is given a 52.4% chance to cover +1.5-runs.

• Oakland has gone Under in seven of eight games when facing the AL East at night.

Marlins at Astros Betting Trends

Venue Stats: Minute Maid Park - 9.1 runs per game; 18-24-3 O/U

• Houston has won eight straight home games and is the favorite, given a 66.1% chance to beat Miami.

• Houston has covered the run line in seven straight games when playing as the favorite and coming off a win. Houston is the favorite against Miami with a 48.8% chance to cover -1.5-runs.

• Houston has gone Over in five straight games when playing on a back-to-back at night.

Mariners at Angels Betting Trends

Venue Stats: Angel Stadium of Anaheim - 9.2 runs per game; 23-22-2 O/U

• Los Angeles has lost 13 straight divisional home games when playing as the underdog and coming off a win. Los Angeles faces Seattle with a 41.7% chance to win as the underdog.

• Seattle has dropped the run line in five straight games when facing the AL as the favorite. Seattle is the favorite against Los Angeles given a 49.5% chance to cover -1.5-runs. 

• Seattle has gone Under in eight of nine divisional road games.

Braves at Diamondbacks Betting Trends

Venue Stats: Chase Field - 10 runs per game; 26-19-1 O/U

• The favorite has won seven straight games between Atlanta and Arizona. Atlanta is the favorite given a 60% chance to win.

• Arizona has covered the run line in four straight games when playing as the underdog and coming off a win. Arizona faces Atlanta as the underdog, given a 57.4% chance to cover +1.5-runs.

• Arizona has gone Over in eight of nine games.

MLB Hit Trends

• J.D. Martinez 12 straight games vs WSH
• Keibert Ruiz 10 straight games in Queens
• Elly De La Cruz nine straight games vs COL
• Ryan McMahon seven straight games
• Riley Greene seven straight home games as favorite
• Jose Ramirez seven straight divisional games as underdog
• Bryan Reynolds 13 straight divisional road games
• William Contreras 11 straight home games vs NL as underdog
• LaMonte Wade Jr eight straight home games as favorite
• Jorge Soler five straight games vs AL East as favorite
• Kyle Schwarber seven straight games vs LAD as favorite
• Brandon Marsh four straight games as favorite
• Gunnar Henderson eight straight games vs NL as favorite
• Austin Hays six straight games vs CHC
• Tyler O’Neill six straight games vs AL as favorite
• Brent Rooker five straight road games vs AL
• Jose Altuve 10 straight games as favorite
• Alex Bregman six straight games
• Brandon Drury eight straight home games vs SEA
• J.P. Crawford eight straight road games vs AL as favorite
• Lourdes Gurriel Jr 13 straight games vs NL as underdog
• Adam Duvall seven straight games in Phoenix as favorite

MLB RBI Trends

• Santiago Espinal four of five games vs COL
• Jose Ramirez four of five games as underdog
• Carson Kelly four of five games
• Rhys Hoskins fou straight divisional home games as underdog
• Michael Conforto four of five games
• Trea Turner four of five games
• Nico Hoerner five of six games
• Rafael Devers 2+ five of six games as favorite
• Alex Bregman four of five games
• Brandon Drury three of four games vs SEA
• Geraldo Perdomo five of six games vs ATL

MLB Runs Trends

• J.D. Martinez four of five games vs WSH
• Matt Vierling five straight home games vs CLE
• Enrique Hernandez five of six road games
• Nico Hoerner four straight road games
• Gleyber Torres four of five road games
• Brent Rooker four straight games
• Rafael Devers 10 of 12 home games
• Alex Bregman nine straight games as favorite
• Jose Altuve four of five home games
• Julio Rodriguez six straight games vs LAA
• Corbin Carroll seven straight games
• Austin Riley 10 of 11 games vs ARI

MLB HR Trends

• Brandon Nimmo three straight games

MLB Strikeout Trends

• MacKenzie Gore 7+ four straight games as underdog
• Aaron Nola 7+  four of five games vs LAD
• Justin Steele 6+ six of seven games vs AL

YRFI/NRFI Trends

• NYM NRFI six straight games during daytime
• CIN NRFI 12 straight games
• CLE YRFI five straight divisional games during daytime
• PIT NRFI five straight games vs NL as favorite
• TOR NRFI six of seven road games
• LAD YRFI six straight games on a Thursday night
• NYY YRFI nine straight divisional road games as favorite
• MIA YRFI seven straight games as underdog
• SEA NRFI six straight games vs AL

Game odds refresh periodically and are subject to change.