Best MLB Parlay Picks Today (Braves, Guardians Among Favorites With Value)

Max Fried has thrown a quality start in nine of his last 10 outings as the Braves host the Nationals today
Max Fried has thrown a quality start in nine of his last 10 outings as the Braves host the Nationals today / Todd Kirkland/GettyImages

Sometimes an MLB slate just aligns perfectly in a way that gives so much value, you can't help but load the card up.

I had no intention of putting six games in today's parlay, but if you keep throwing fastballs down the middle of the plate, am I supposed to just not swing?

Well, I'm taking advice from the movie "Signs" and will just swing away. Using the odds from WynnBET Sportsbook, here are my favorite MLB parlay plays of the day:

Best MLB Parlay Picks Today

Phillies (-148) vs Marlins

The Phillies are undeniable right now. Winners of 10 of 11, Bryce Harper & co. are like a phoenix rising from the ashes laid by Joe Girardi's firing burning everyone in their path. They're fourth in OPS over the last two weeks and have a huge pitching advantage with Zach Eflin going against Trevor Rogers. You know things are going well when you're making plays like this off the mound:

Eflin is a pitcher I'd like to back most weeks moving forward. His 2.76 expected ERA ranks 10th among all qualified pitchers and he has a ridiculous 1.16 ERA at home. Rogers, on the other hand, has a 4.84 expected ERA as the Marlins have lost six of his last seven road starts.

Miami is a dangerous team, but there's not much you can do against a phoenix. That being said, I'm going with the first-five innings instead of the whole game.

Braves -1.5 (-150) vs Nationals

I tried The Blazin' Challenge at Buffalo Wild Wings once. I felt confident, but then I immediately realized the wings were too hot to handle and I just had to last long enough to not feel like I'd embarrassed everyone around me.

That's how I envision things going for Nationals' rookie Jackson Tetreault making his major league debut today. The Braves are too hot to handle, and Tetreault might be looking for some milk to cool down within the first few batters.

Tetreault gave up eight runs in his last minor league start and consistently struggled with issuing walks while surrendering home runs, which is terrible news against an Atlanta lineup that ranks second in OPS over the last three weeks and averages the second-most home runs per game in MLB.

Perhaps the Washington rookie can pick up some tips from Braves' starter Max Fried, who has allowed just two runs total over his last three starts. Fried has thrown a quality start in nine of his last 10 outings and Atlanta is 8-2 over his last 10 starts, including winning four straight. All but six of those eight wins came by multiple runs, and I foresee an easy victory today against an overmatched rookie.

Someone get the poor guy some milk.

White Sox (-185) vs Tigers

Dylan Cease has been let down by his teammates in truly extreme ways of late. Over his last three starts, he's allowed nine runs. None of those runs were earned, as they all came after errors by the defense meant to support him. The White Sox have a big opportunity to correct their mistakes against a struggling Tigers squad that's 3-6 over their last nine.

Drew Hutchison will make his first start of the year for Detroit and is expected to serve as an opener for a bullpen day. He has a 5.41 expected ERA and won't get much support from a lineup that ranks dead-last in OPS against right-handed pitchers over the last three weeks.

Chicago is 6-1 in Cease's last seven starts on the road and 8-2 in their last 10 as a road favorite. Expect both of those trends to improve with a win today.

Guardians (-160) vs Rockies

Hey, what do you know, Cleveland got hot after all!

The Guardians are 10-3 over their last 13 games and are now just 3.5 games behind Minnesota for the AL Central lead. They'll start Shane Bieber today, who has allowed more than two earned runs just once in his last seven starts. Cleveland has won four straight on the road behind Bieber, whose 2.64 FIP (Fielding Independent Pitching) ranks sixth among all qualified starters.

The Rockies are 23rd in OPS against right-handed pitchers over the last two weeks and are just 4-10 in their last 14 matchups at home. They'll start Antonio Senzatela, whose 6.86 expected ERA would be the worst of all qualified pitchers if he had enough innings to qualify. Colorado has lost four straight games he's pitched by a combined score of 32-10.

Trust Cleveland to stay hot behind an excellent pitcher against a struggling team and even worse starter.

Giants (-250) vs Royals

Just like those who bought Bitcoin at $62,000 just for it to immediately crash, my piece last week on how the Giants had won 18 straight at home behind Logan Webb suffered from poor timing. Disastrous timing, really.

However, I'm going right back to the well today! Webb pitched well in that loss to the Rockies last week, but his lineup and defense let him down. He should have more wiggle-room today against Royals' starter Kris Bubic. This will be Bubic's third start since returning from the minors, and there's a wild trend in Kansas City in which the longer a pitcher spends time around pitching coach Cal Eldred, the worse they get:

So, I don't have much faith in Bubic today, whose 8.45 expected ERA pales in comparison to Webb's 3.45. Just look at Bubic's MLB Statcast pitching profile:

That's a disaster. The Giants get back on track at home behind Webb today.

Dodgers (-190) vs Angels

To wrap up my parlay picks, I'm taking the Dodgers behind Tony Gonsolin over the Angels with Noah Syndergaard. Gonsolin has been a certified beast this season, having not given up more than two runs a single time over 11 starts. He's 7-0 with a 1.58 ERA and he's somehow been even better at home, compiling a 1.00 ERA over five outings, all Dodgers wins.

Los Angeles is 2-5 in Syndergaard's last seven starts and his 4.57 expected ERA implies he's been lucky to only have a 3.69 ERA to this point in the season. He's been dreadful on the road too, amassing a 7.88 ERA. The Dodgers are struggling, having lost nine of 13, but this is a great series to get back on track. Despite picking up a couple of wins over the last week, the Angels are still 2-16 over their last 18. Gonsolin stays hot and gives the Dodgers the win.

MLB Parlay For Tuesday, June 14

The "Swing Away" Parlay (+1394)

  • Phillies (-148) vs Marlins
  • Braves -1.5 (-150) vs Nationals
  • White Sox (-185) vs Tigers
  • Guardians (-160) vs Rockies
  • Giants (-250) vs Royals
  • Dodgers (-190) vs Angels

A favorite-heavy parlay for today but I'm loving the value here. A $25 bet wins $348.48 for a lovely Tuesday payday. Obviously, trying to hit a six-team parlay is difficult, so I encourage you to pick your favorites to make your own parlay over at WynnBET.

My personal favorite trio is the Braves, Giants, and Guardians, which would make for +279 odds, or $69.79 on a $25 bet.

I wish you luck in whichever direction you choose, but let me know how your parlay shakes out and let's get after it! Time to swing away, folks.

Follow all of Joe Summers' betting picks here.