Best MLB Parlay Picks Today (Nationals & Phillies Headline Upset-Heavy Parlay)

Zach Eflin has great value as an underdog against the Brewers today
Zach Eflin has great value as an underdog against the Brewers today / Tim Nwachukwu/GettyImages

It's a good day to cash a parlay, eh? We've got 11 games on today's MLB slate with action spread throughout the day, so why not string some value together and make some magic happen?

Deep down, everyone wants to be part of something bigger than themselves. Yes, even baseball games. I've analyzed today's matchups and am happy to bring you a series of contests that compliment each other perfectly. I'll build brick by brick, and soon we'll have a house of dollars.

Using the odds from WynnBET Sportsbook, let's check out my favorite MLB Parlay Picks of the day:

Best MLB Parlay Picks Today

Phillies (+147) vs Brewers

Let's kick today's parlay off with a bang, shall we? It's a dicey proposition fading Corbin Burnes at home, but scared money don't make no money! The Phillies have won six straight games following the firing of manager Joe Girardi. Maybe there's something to the idea of getting rid of Joe's. If this parlay doesn't hit, I may start a focus group for a new "interim" name. Just to get the juices going, you know?

Anyway, there's great value on the Phillies to stay hot behind Zach Eflin, who threw eight shutout innings against the Angels last week. Eflin has only a 3.88 ERA on the year, but his 2.52 expected ERA is the third-lowest among all qualified pitchers. The guy is due for some good luck, and these odds aren't taking into account Eflin's status as one of the best pitchers in MLB this year.

The Brewers have lost five straight and seven of eight as their lineup is baaaaaad right now. That's an "a" for every run the Brewers have scored over their last five games: six. Over five baseball games, Milwaukee has scored a grand total of six runs.

Corbin Burnes is a monster, but his 3.00 expected ERA is worse than Eflin's. His underlying metrics are down a bit too, as Burnes ranks in the 57th percentile in average exit velocity while Eflin is in the 97th. I'll back the Phillies to stay hot with the surprising pitching advantage against a Brewers club that can't hit water falling out of a boat.

Dodgers vs White Sox Under 8.5 (-105)

Oh hey, another great pitching matchup! Tyler Anderson hasn't allowed a single run in his last three starts as he brings a 7-0 record and 2.59 ERA into today. He's got a 1.63 ERA on the road, so he's even better away from home. The White Sox hit left-handed pitchers well, but Anderson's impressive blend of velocity and command should make life difficult for Chicago.

Dylan Cease is pretty darned good too. He hasn't allowed a run in three of his last four outings and his 2.79 expected ERA is 10th among all qualified pitchers. I'll admit, I'm a bit worried about his seven walks in his last start, but I'll trust the Cy Young candidate to revert back to strong form today.

The under is 5-0 in the Dodgers' last five as a road favorite and 4-1 in Chicago's last five as a home underdog. With two pitchers I trust going to battle and the trends in our favor, I'll happily take the under 8.5.

Nationals (+120) vs Marlins

IT'S STRASBURG DAY, BABY! The 2019 World Series MVP will make his first start in over a year and I can't help but back him as an underdog against one of the worst starters in MLB, Trevor Rogers.

Rogers has been a disaster and seems to be getting worse. He walked five Rockies in his last start as he gave up five runs in 3.2 innings, and he has an unfathomable 10.57 ERA at home. Dating back to last season, the Marlins are 2-10 in his last 12 starts. You're telling me that guy is favored over Strasburg?

The Nationals have the third-highest OPS on the road and should give Strasburg all the run support he needs against Rogers. Take the plus money and enjoy the season debut of one of the most electrifying pitchers of the era.

Giants -1.5 (-125) vs Rockies

The Giants burned me as our only parlay loss a couple of days ago, but my friend Rich tells me every week to bet on Logan Webb and I believe in solidarity and trusting others.

But I also believe in trusting dynamite trends, and the Giants have won 18 consecutive home starts by Webb. Maybe Rich is onto something.

Colorado is 4-15 in their last 19 on the road with 12 of the losses coming by multiple runs. They'll start Austin Gomber, whose 5.49 expected ERA is among the worst in MLB. The Rockies have lost five straight starts by Gomber and the Giants' bats should come alive today.

Trust the trends, trust Webb, and trust Rich. Giants roll.

Red Sox (+107) vs Angels

I'm thrilled to once again back the Red Sox as underdogs. They're 6-2 over their last eight as 'dogs and have won five straight behind today's starter, Nick Pivetta. Pivetta has been exceptional over the last month and should be favored. In his last six outings, Pivetta has a 1.32 ERA and has thrown a quality start each time.

Los Angeles will turn to Shohei Ohtani in hopes of snapping a 14-game losing streak, but they're just 3-9 in his last dozen starts, including four straight losses. He's given up nine runs in his last two starts and the Angels' depleted bullpen won't be able to pick up the slack if his poor stretch continues.

Boston has the better lineup, the better pitcher, and the better defense. Trust the Red Sox to win their eighth straight on the road.


The "House of Dollars" Parlay (+3923)

  • Phillies (+147) vs Brewers
  • Dodgers vs White Sox Under 8.5 (-105)
  • Nationals (+120) vs Marlins
  • Giants -1.5 (-125) vs Rockies
  • Red Sox (+107) vs Angels

What a beautiful day to let these individual games be part of something bigger than themselves. We've got an upset-heavy parlay today and it's creating a whopping payout. A $10 bet on the "House of Dollars" parlay pays out $392.30. That'll play.

I'd recommend mixing it up and picking your favorites over at WynnBET as you build your bet slip. A Nationals/Red Sox parlay, for example, pays out +362. Or maybe you prefer a Phillies/Giants one, which pays out +346.

Personally, I'll be firing them all together. But you've got to feel confident in what you choose, so I support whichever route you go with. Let's get after it.

Follow all of Joe Summers' betting picks here.