Best MLB Parlay Picks Today (Patrick Corbin and Martin Perez Highlight Pitchers to Target)

Zac Gallen has allowed more than two runs just once this season and we're getting value on him taking on the Pirates today
Zac Gallen has allowed more than two runs just once this season and we're getting value on him taking on the Pirates today / Norm Hall/GettyImages
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It's Sunday, which means we've got a full MLB slate with action throughout the day to keep us glued to our television sets, phones, and radios.

There's a ton of value on the board today and the BetSided team has you set with previews for each matchup throughout the afternoon and evening.

I was off yesterday and had a full day to analyze these games. Using the odds at WynnBET Sportsbook, I'm pleased to report I've concocted a monstrous MLB parlay ready to load our pockets with cash and hearts with glee.

Best MLB Parlay Picks Today

Diamondbacks (-142) vs Pirates

This is a lovely price to back a dark horse Cy Young candidate in Zac Gallen. The 26-year-old is enjoying a breakout season, allowing more than two runs just once in nine starts. Gallen ranks in the 91st percentile in expected ERA and the 92nd in expected batting average while the Diamondbacks have won six of his last seven outings.

Pirates' starter Zach Thompson is on a nice stretch, but Arizona's lineup is ferocious. They had the best OPS against right-handed pitchers in May and average the most home runs per game on the road by a significant margin.

The Diamondbacks have a defensive edge as well, with the second most Outs Above Average per MLB Statcast. When you have a better pitcher, a better lineup, and a better defense, you're in good shape. Back Arizona to improve to 9-3 in their last dozen on the road.

Reds -1.5 (+120) vs Nationals

Is it a day ending in "y"? It is? Cool, then it's a great day to fade Patrick Corbin. Washington is 1-10 in his starts, with nine of the losses coming by multiple runs. The poor guy's MLB Statcast pitching profile looks like he's trying to fit in with The Smurfs:

Corbin has a truly sad 8.17 ERA on the road and gave up as many runs in his last start as Luis Castillo has in his last four. The Reds have won both of Castillo's home outings and he just limited the excellent Red Sox lineup to one hit over six scoreless innings.

Washington has lost on the run line in each of Corbin's six road starts by a combined score of 44-11. Cincinnati -1.5 at plus money just may be my favorite bet of the day. Sunday does end in "y," after all.

Astros -1.5 (-140) vs Royals

Houston has won five straight starts by Framber Valdez as he amassed a 2.57 ERA in May. The Astros lineup sputtered yesterday but should find better success against Jonathan Heasley today, Heasley's expected ERA (6.53) and walks per nine innings (7.45) are the worst among all qualified pitchers while the Royals have lost all four of his outings by multiple runs.

Valdez has a 1.40 road ERA and should get the Astros back on track. Kansas City had a nice win yesterday, but they're on a 3-13 stretch with eight straight losses coming on the run line. Houston's significant pitching advantage will give them the win.

Rangers (-125) vs Mariners / Rangers vs Mariners Under 8.0 (-105)

Just like every day ending in "y" is a great day to fade Patrick Corbin, every day ending in "y" is a great day to back Martin Perez. After signing with the Rangers on a one-year, $4 million deal, the offseason's best acquisition has been the league's most dominant starter. He's going to make a ton of money in free agency and with good reason:

Perez has a 0.64 ERA in that stretch and the Rangers are 7-1. He hasn't allowed a single home run all season and frankly, he should be discussed as a legitimate Cy Young candidate.

Though I've got a lot of optimism for George Kirby's future, as well. Seattle's 2019 first-round pick He's coming off six scoreless innings against Baltimore and his 2.99 expected FIP (Fielding Independent Pitching) would rank ninth among all pitchers if he had enough innings to qualify.

Seattle is just 5-16 as a road underdog this year, so I'll back Texas to improve to 8-3 in their last 11 at home. But with my belief in both pitchers, I love the under as well. It's 6-1-1 in Perez's dominant stretch as his last four opponents scored a paltry two runs combined. Seemingly just like most of his starts, the Rangers will win a close, low-scoring game.

Rockies First Five Innings +0.5 (-115) vs Braves

Braves' starter Charlie Morton is a pitcher I'm looking to fade moving forward. The 38-year-old is in the 21st percentile in expected ERA and has a 6.84 ERA on the road. He relies heavily on curveball spin to fool batters, but the thin air at Coors Field should mitigate that spin. Having given up a home run in three straight outings, Morton's form is shaky and the Rockies should take advantage to avoid a sweep.

Colorado rookie Ryan Feltner earned his first career victory with seven innings of one-run ball against Miami last week. I've been impressed with the youngster out of Ohio State, who ranks in the 88th percentile in average exit velocity and 81st in strikeout rate. The Braves average more strikeouts than any other team in baseball and Feltner's slider is nasty:

The Rockies' bullpen is still the worst in baseball, so I'll stick to the first five innings to avoid a meltdown by the relievers.

Recap

The "Does Today End in 'Y'?" Parlay (+4099)

  • Diamondbacks (-142) vs Pirates
  • Reds -1.5 (+120) vs Nationals
  • Astros -1.5 (-140) vs Royals
  • Rangers (-125) vs Mariners
  • Rangers vs Mariners Under 8.0 (-110)
  • Rockies First Five Innings +.5 (-115) vs Braves

Oh baby, does it ever look beautiful! I love the value on these parlay picks and think we're in for a big day.

It's obviously always tough to hit six picks without missing one, so I encourage you to pick your favorites to create your own parlay over at WynnBET. If I were to sllim this one down, I'd go with the following:

Mini-Bonanza Parlay (+628)

  • Diamondbacks (-142) vs Pirates
  • Reds -1.5 (+120) vs Nationals
  • Rangers vs Mariners Under 8.0 (-110)

I wish you the best of luck with whichever path you choose. Let's make today a special one and cash us a big MLB parlay. Just like "Sunday," "parlay" ends in y. It's destiny if you ask me.



Follow all of Joe Summers' betting picks here.