Best MLB Prop Bets and NRFI/YRFI Prediction for Astros vs. Phillies in World Series Game 4

 Philadelphia Phillies designated hitter Bryce Harper.
Philadelphia Phillies designated hitter Bryce Harper. / Bill Streicher-USA TODAY Sports
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Game 4 of the World Series has a ton of intrigue, as the Philadelphia Phillies can blow this series wide open with a win on Wednesday night. 

Philly took Game 3 from the Houston Astros with a 7-0 victory on Tuesday night, and now it has Aaron Nola on the mound for a critical Game 4 at Citizens Bank Park. 

There are plenty of ways to bet on the World Series, and prop bets can be some of the most fun by focusing solely on a few players. Here are three props that I am eyeing for Game 4: 

Best NRFI/YRFI Bets Today

Yes Run First Inning

The Phillies jumped on Lance McCullers Jr. early in Game 3, scoring twice in the first inning, and I think there’s some value in another YRFI in Game 4. 

Aaron Nola was roughed up by the Astros for five runs in Game 1 of this series, and he’s allowed 11 runs overall in his last nine innings of work. 

The YRFI has hit in three of the last four home games for Philly this postseason, and Cristian Javier comes into this game on a long layoff. Also, despite a 2.54 ERA in the regular season, Javier’s first inning ERA was a tick higher at 3.24. 

Astros vs. Phillies Best MLB Prop Bets for Game 4

  • Bryce Harper OVER 1.5 Total Bases
  • Cristian Javier OVER 5.5 Strikeouts

Bryce Harper OVER 1.5 Total Bases

Let’s all do ourselves a favor and jump on the wagon that is Bryce Harper right now and back him to clear 1.5 bases at plus money. 

Harper is 3-for-12 in the World Series with a home run, and he’s cleared this line in two of the three games in the series. He’s never faced Javier in his career, but I’m not going to fade Harper when he’s having one of the best postseasons of all time. 

At plus money, this is one of my favorite bets to make on the board. 

Cristian Javier OVER 5.5 Strikeouts

Javier has been a strikeout machine this season, punching out 194 batters in 148.2 innings in the regular season, and he’s continued that success into the postseason. 

The Astros righty has seven punchouts across 6.2 innings so far in the playoffs, and he was throwing some of his best fastballs of the postseason the last time he had a long layoff. 

If Dusty Baker trusts Javier to go more than five innings in this game, I love the OVER on his K prop. 

Find Peter Dewey’s full betting record here.


Game odds refresh periodically and are subject to change.