Best MLB Prop Bets Today (Back Joe Musgrove, Logan Webb & Tony Gonsolin on Thursday)

Los Angeles Dodgers v Atlanta Braves
Los Angeles Dodgers v Atlanta Braves / Todd Kirkland/GettyImages

Yesterday was an okay day for the team. Reed Wallach stole the show, hitting on a plus-money prop for Angels star Shohei Ohtani. Overall, we went 2-2 on our props. Today, we have an aggressive array of picks to choose from. There’s several plus money props, a win-loss prop, and the rare offensive prop. 

Let’s get straight to it, with odds coming from consensus lines. 

Best MLB Prop Bets Record to Date

  • MLB Best Prop Bets Record: 143-118-0 

Best MLB Prop Bets Today

  • Logan Webb OVER 5.5 Strikeouts (+120)
  • Tony Gonsolin to Record a Win (+105)
  • Joe Musgrove OVER 6.5 Strikeouts (+120)
  • Kyle Schwarber OVER 1.5 Total Bases (-105)

Logan Webb OVER 5.5 Strikeouts (+120)

Webb and Musgrove are set for a thrilling pitching duel, so I’m taking the OVER on both of their props. Webb has cleared this line in three of his last four starts. The Padres are in the bottom third in strikeout rate over their last three games, which sets up well for Webb. In his start against the Padres in April, Webb struck out seven. He knows this team well, and will fan a fair amount of batters tonight. –Donnavan Smoot

Tony Gonsolin to Record a Win (+105)

Los Angeles Dodgers starter Tony Gonsolin has been one of the best pitchers in baseball, and he has a perfect 10-0 record heading into Thursday’s start against the Chicago Cubs.

Gonsolin has gotten the decision in six of his last seven starts, and he hasn’t allowed more than two earned runs in a start all season long.

The Cubs are certainly deserving of being an underdog here, and I think Gonsolin goes deep enough into the game to get the decision, as he’s pitched six or more innings in seven of his last nine starts and into the sixth in all nine. – Peter Dewey

Joe Musgrove OVER 6.5 Strikeouts (+120)

Musgrove has been the best starter in San Diego this season and now faces a struggling Giants lineup that has the third highest K% since the beginning of June, striking out on nearly 25% of their at bats. He has struck out six or more batters in five of his last six outings, including a 10 strikeout outing last time out. At plus money, I'm eyeing Musgrove to keep up his high strikeout marks. – Reed Wallach

Kyle Schwarber OVER 1.5 Total Bases (-105)

The Great Schwarbino is torching opposing pitchers right now, and reaching several Phillies' milestones in the process.

In the month of July, Schwarber has a weighted on-base average (wOBA) of .546 (league average is .320) and a weighted runs created plus (wRC+) of 255 (league average is 100).

He's also hit back-to-back two-homer games and faces one of the worst pitchers in the league in Joan Adon of the Nationals.

Unless Washington decides to not pitch to Schwarber entirely, he's too locked in for me to fade right now. – Ben Heisler