Best MLB Prop Bets Today (Jose Urquidy & Gerrit Cole Are Pitchers To Fade On Tuesday)
Monday’s slate of props went 2-2, with Sandy Alcantara and Mike Minor’s props missing the mark. Today, we have a fairly diverse set of props. We have two strikeout UNDERS, two strikeout OVERS and a team total OVER to look at.
There’s a lot of picks to get to, so let’s jump right into it.
Best MLB Prop Bets Record to Date
- MLB Best Prop Bets Record: 106-90-0
Here are the plays our team is eyeing for tonight’s slate with odds coming from WynnBET and consensus lines.
Best MLB Prop Bets Today
- Jose Urquidy UNDER 4.5 Strikeouts (-117)
- Rays Team Total OVER 2.5 Runs (-145)
- Yusei Kikuchi OVER 4.5 Strikeouts -164
- Gerrit Cole UNDER 8.5 Strikeouts (-140)
- Kyle Hendricks OVER 2.5 Strikeouts (-140)
Jose Urquidy UNDER 4.5 Strikeouts (-117)
Urquidy has missed this line in five of the last seven starts. He’s been up and down over his last four starts, but the one thing that’s stayed constant is his mistakes. Urquidy has given up a home run in every start except for two. If he gives up homers in bunches against the Rangers, who are top 5 in home runs per game, this could be a short day for him. The homers plus the inconsistent pitching is forcing me to fade him here. – Donnavan Smoot
Rays Team Total OVER 2.5 Runs (-145)
If there is a time to fade Gerrit Cole, it is against the Tampa Bay Rays and while he is already struggling.
Cole has 18 runs over his last six starts, and he’s been tagged for three or more runs in three of those outings. In his career against Tampa Bay, Cole is just 1-6 with a 4.21 ERA in 12 starts.
The Yankees’ bullpen has been elite this season, but New York has also allowed three or more runs in five of its last seven games. I’ll back the Rays to get over this small number. – Peter Dewey
Yusei Kikuchi OVER 4.5 Strikeouts (-164)
Yusei Kikuchi has been on a roller coaster ride this season, but he does know how to throw a strike. He's averaging 10 strikes per nine innings this season, He's also surpassed this number in 5 of his last 7 starts. The biggest reason why i like this bet, is that the Orioles have the second worst strikeout rate in the Majors against left-handed pitchers, striking out on 25.8% of plate appearances. That's good news for a Kikuchi strikeout prop, as we all know he's a lefty. I think he records at least five Ks tonight. – Iain MacMillan
Gerrit Cole UNDER 8.5 Strikeouts (-140)
There are a ton of concerning signs for Cole heading into this Tuesday night matchup against the Rays to clear this high total. For starters, he has a 4.24 ERA against Tampa Bay, a team that strikes out at a low rate to begin with, and could chase him from this one earlier than expected. He has gone below this total in half of his games and this particular matchup has not suit him well in the past. Give me the under in what could be another struggle for the Yankees ace. – Reed Wallach
Kyle Hendricks OVER 2.5 Strikeouts (-140)
In today’s modern era of baseball, velocity and spin rate reign supreme. In the case of Cubs starter Kyle Hendricks, he doesn’t offer much of the former, and of late, he hasn’t offered much of either.
Chicago takes on the Padres at Wrigley Field and the conditions do not bode well for Hendricks with the weather in the low-to-mid 90s, and the wind blowing out to left at 14 mph. However, his strikeout prop is set at only 2.5, and even for someone like Hendricks, that’s simply far too low.
Hendricks throughout his career has been a much better pitcher at home (3.03 ERA at home vs. 3.89 on the road), and has also recorded a much higher strikeout rate at the Friendly Confines (20.7% vs. 19.2%).
The last few games haven’t been good; recording only strikeout in his last two. But, he’s also passed this number in five other starts this year, and I expect Tuesday night to be number six. – Ben Heisler