Best MLB Prop Bets Today (Trust Reds In Early Innings On Thursday)

Houston Astros v Seattle Mariners
Houston Astros v Seattle Mariners / Stephen Brashear/GettyImages

The team went 2-0 yesterday, with one of our props getting nullified due to rain. However, we’re back today looking for a second straight perfect day. Let’s get it.

Best MLB Prop Bets Record to Date

  • MLB Best Prop Bets Record: 84-79-0 

Here are the plays our team is eyeing for tonight’s slate with odds coming from WynnBET and consensus lines. 

Best MLB Prop Bets Today

  • Nestor Cortes Jr. OVER 6.5 Strikeouts (+105)
  • Chris Flexen OVER 3.5 Strikeouts (+110)
  • Sean Manaea OVER 6.5 Strikeouts (+110)
  • Taijuan Walker UNDER 3.5 Strikeouts (+115)
  • Reds F5 ML (-135)

Nestor Cortes Jr. OVER 6.5 Strikeouts (+105)

Cortes is on a hot streak right now. He’s cleared this line in three of his last four starts and has a great matchup tonight. The Angels strikeout at the third-highest rate in baseball. Cortes has the second-best ERA and third-best WHIP in MLB. At home, he should be able to find his rhythm early and keep it up all night.  – Donnavan Smoot

Chris Flexen OVER 3.5 Strikeouts (+110)

I’m taking a shot on Chris Flexen’s strikeout prop at plus money on Thursday night.

Flexen has cleared this number in five starts this season, and while he’s registered just 37 punch outs in 50.1 innings, he has a favorable matchup against the Baltimore Orioles tonight.

Baltimore averages 8.94 strikeouts per game this season, which is good for 24th in MLB. I think there’s value in taking this prop for Flexen, who has recorded six, two, seven and five strikeouts in his last four starts. – Peter Dewey

Sean Manaea OVER 6.5 Strikeouts (+110)

The Brewers have struggled against lefties all season, especially in the strikeout department. They strikeout on 24% of their plate appearances against lefties, which is the 7th worst rate in the Majors. Manaea has covered this number in two of his last four starts, including a 12 strikeout performance against the Braves on May 14th. I think he gets at least seven tonight. – Iain MacMillan

Taijuan Walker UNDER 3.5 Strikeouts (+115)

Small hurdle to climb, but Walker ain't getting there. As a Mets fan, Walker gives me a ton of pause with his diminishing K rate, now below 5 per 9 innings this season. He'll struggling to find a punch out pitch against the vaunted Dodgers, who have the highest walk rate in baseball and are bottom 10 in strikeouts. Even if Walker puts together a strong outing on Thursday, I don't believe it's coming by way of strikeouts.– Reed Wallach

Reds F5 ML (-135)

If you missed the tomfoolery that took place in yesterday's Washington Nationals loss to the New York Mets, your eyes are better off for it.

With the defense Washington attempted in the field, in genuinely looked like what a team would do to try and throw a game. It was that awful.

The Nats have now gone 3-11 over their last 14 road games and continue their trip with a visit to Cincinnati; facing a Reds team that's turned a historically bad start around. As BetSided's Joe Summers points out in his game preview today, the Nats have lost seven straight games that pitcher Joan Adon has started; six coming by three or more runs.

Because the Reds' bullpen is still a disaster, I'll turn my play on the first five innings where Cincinnati has a decisive advantage at a very reasonable price.