Best MLB Prop Bets Today (What's Right with Kyle Wright? His Strikeout Prop vs. Pirates)

Braves SP Kyle Wright faces a Pirates team that's struck out 38.2% of the time during the week.
Braves SP Kyle Wright faces a Pirates team that's struck out 38.2% of the time during the week. / Todd Kirkland/GettyImages

The BetSided team came oh-so-close to another perfect day on Saturday, missing the mark on Jordan Montgomery's OVER on 5.5 strikeouts vs. the Cubs as he finished with five in a Yankees shutout.

On an jam-packed day and night of MLB action, we've got two props from the mid-afternoon slate of games, followed by a strikeout prop to get you locked in for Sunday Night Baseball between the New York Mets and L.A. Angels.

Best MLB Prop Bets Record to Date

  • MLB Best Prop Bets Record: 102-87-0 

Here are the props our team is eyeing for tonight’s slate. Odds come from both WynnBET and consensus lines. 

Best MLB Prop Bets Today

  • Kyle Wright OVER 6 Strikeouts (-105)
  • Edward Cabrera OVER 4.5 Strikeouts (+110)
  • Patrick Sandoval OVER 5 Strikeouts (-105)

Kyle Wright OVER 6 Strikeouts (-105)

Perhaps I'm walking into a trap with the juice on the under here, but after looking at the Pirates' latest strikeout numbers, I can't figure out what I'm missing!

Earlier this week, Pittsburgh caught up to today's opponent, the Atlanta Braves for the highest strikeout rate in the league (Braves are 25.5%, Pirates are 25.4%). Furthermore, since Monday, the Pirates are striking out an OBSCENE 38.2% of the time!

Wright ranks ninth amongst NL pitchers in strikeouts this year, has a K/9 of 9.71, and it goes up to over 10 when pitching at home with a strikeout percentage of 28.7%.

Maybe the oddsmakers know something I don't, but this matchup screams OVER for the young 26-year old righty today. -- Ben Heisler

Edward Cabrera Over 4.5 Strikeouts (+110)

Cabrera has been incredible in his first two starts for the Marlins and they made have found a diamond in the rough with the 24-year-old righty. He struggled in a brief stint in the majors last season, but upped his changeup usage in the offseason and it's paid off in a big way.

Cabrera now throws his changeup just under 40% of the time and opponents are hitting .050 with a .080 expected batting average. His new super-pitch has a whiff percentage of 41.5%, so opponents are missing almost half of their swings against it.

Well, guess what team happens to be terrible at hitting changeups? The Astros! Of 11 qualified hitters, Houston has a combined run value of -12 against the changeup, which is an advanced metrics way of saying that they can't hit changeups at all. All but one of their regulars (Alex Bregman) have a whiff percentage greater than 20% against changeups, and only Yordan Alvarez and Michael Brantley have a batting average better than .250 against it.

Cabrera's strength directly combats the Astros' hitters' greatest weakness, so I love the chances he has a stellar outing today. He already has 13 strikeouts in just 12 innings pitched, so he won't even have to go deep to cash this lovely plus money prop. -- Joe Summers

Patrick Sandoval OVER 5 Strikeouts (-105)

I'm already on the Angels to win this game, but I also think Patrick Sandoval will hit the OVER on his strikeout total of five.

The Mets haven't necessarily been a bad team when it comes to the strikeout department, they do have a higher strikeout rate against lefties than righties. They strikeout on 19.2% of plate appearances against right-handed pitchers, 20.1% of plate appearances against right-handed pitchers.

I think Sandoval can at least hit five strikeouts, which would give us a push on our bet tonight in the worst case scenario. -- Iain MacMillan