Best NBA Prop Bets Today: Back Kristaps Porzingis, Fade Doug McDermott on Tuesday

Dallas Mavericks center Kristaps Porzingis.
Dallas Mavericks center Kristaps Porzingis. / Jerome Miron-USA TODAY Sports
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The BetSided team is all in on player props for this NBA season, sharing our favorite and best prop bet picks each day during the year. 

Best NBA Prop Bets Record to Date

  • NBA Best Prop Bets Record: 75-68-2 (-3.1001 units)

Here are the plays our team is eyeing for tonight’s slate with all odds via WynnBET:

Best NBA Prop Bets Today

  • Doug McDermott UNDER 11.5 Points (-120)
  • Julius Randle OVER 9.5 Rebounds (+100)
  • LaMarcus Aldridge OVER 15.5 Points (-125)
  • Kristaps Porzingis OVER 18.5 Points (-120)
  • Russell Westbrook OVER 7.5 Assists (-120)

Exclusive offer. Bet $1, Win $100 if anyone makes a 3-pointer. . dark

Doug McDermott UNDER 11.5 Points (-120)

Doug McDermott has only taken nine field goal attempts in his last two games, and has taken fewer than double-digit attempts in more than 50% of his starts this season. He's managed to surpass his set total for tonight of 11.5 in three straight games, but that's been due to him taking advantage of the opportunities he's been getting.

I expect him to regress in the shooting department tonight when he takes on the New York Knicks, who rank fifth in the NBA in opponent shooting percentage at 43.7%. I think he'll be kept to single-digit points tonight, but this bet will cash if it's 11 points or fewer. -- Iain MacMillan

Julius Randle OVER 9.5 Rebounds (+100)

Julius Randle and the Knicks desperately need this win, and there’s been talk that Tom Thibodeau could turn to the smaller Nerlens Noel at center in the starting lineup over Mitchell Robinson on Tuesday night. 

Randle has picked up double-digit rebounds in 13 of his 23 games this season and five of his last eight contests. He’s averaging 10.0 boards per game this season, and I think the Spurs (17th in rebounding percentage) give him a good chance to hit the over tonight. 

San Antonio is allowing 46.7 opponent rebounds per game this season which is the sixth most in the NBA. -- Peter Dewey

LaMarcus Aldridge OVER 15.5 Points (-125)

We played Aldridge's over on Saturday to success and we will hit it again against the Mavericks. Dallas is allowing the third fewest 3-point shots in the league this season, as the Mavs funnel the opposition inside the arc. 

With less clean looks for the likes of Patty Mills, expect the Nets to use Aldridge and his pick and pop ability often. In five games as a starter, Aldridge is averaging 15.2 points per game, but this matchup sets up favorably for him to clear it. -- Reed Wallach

Kristaps Porzingis OVER 18.5 Points (-120)

Porzingis has missed the last two games, but he’s back tonight and will show up for the Mavericks. He’s cleared this line in nine of his last 12 games and done it at a comfortable margin. 

In his last 10 games, he’s averaging 22.4 points per game and doing it on over 50% shooting from the floor. I expect him to get his normal shot attempts, so the points will follow. Brooklyn doesn’t have a lot of size that can guard Porzingis on the perimeter. Unless he throws up bricks all night, the over looks good here. -- Donnavan Smoot

Russell Westbrook OVER 7.5 Assists (-120)

It’s certainly not the Celtics vs. Lakers matchups of even a few years ago, but the rivalry re-ignites tonight at the (soon-to-be named) Crypto.com Arena.

It’s a challenging matchup, as Boston has allowed the fourth-fewest assists per game to the point guard position so far this season, but the Lakers still will have the ball in LeBron’s hands to help facilitate and that can put Russ in advantageous matchups as both a scorer and distributor. Boston has also been playing more up-tempo as of late, scoring an average of 137.5 points in their last two games. Could they try to push the pace tonight with L.A who ranks No. 2 in the league?

Russ has also averaged just under 9 assists/game over his last 11. He’s exceeded this number in three of his last four games, as well as in seven of his last 10 games. I expect it to be eight of his last 11 after tonight. -- Ben Heisler