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Best NBA Prop Bets Today: Fade DeMar DeRozan, Expect Terry Rozier to Bounce Back

By Peter Dewey, Ben Heisler, Reed Wallach

Charlotte Hornets guard Terry Rozier.
Charlotte Hornets guard Terry Rozier. / Troy Taormina-USA TODAY Sports
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The BetSided team is all in on player props for this NBA season, sharing our favorite and best prop bet picks each day during the year. 

Best NBA Prop Bets Record to Date

  • NBA Best Prop Bets Record: 92-89-4

Here are the plays our team is eyeing for tonight’s slate with all odds via WynnBET:

Best NBA Prop Bets Today

  • Jakob Poeltl OVER 11.5 Points (-105)
  • DeMar DeRozan UNDER 29.5 Points (-130)
  • Terry Rozier OVER 14.5 Points (-125)

Jakob Poeltl OVER 11.5 Points (-105)

Poeltl is coming off one of his worst games of the season, hitting on a pair of his 10 shots, but this is a cheap price to ask him to get his season average of 12 points. The Clippers are getting gashed this season inside, allowing the fourth most points in the paint, which is where the big man does nearly all of his work. 

He doesn't have any 3-point attempts on the year, so I expect Poeltl to get work down low and convert at his season average of over 60%. This is a great buy low opportunity. – Reed Wallach

DeMar DeRozan UNDER 29.5 Points (-130)

Looks like the pros beat me to this number with the juice sizably inflated, but I'm not paying a tax on DeRozan's point total, especially while on the second game of a back-to-back. This despite DeRozan living comfortably around this number over his last five games (averaging 31.4 points per game).

Let's also not forget that the Rockets' recent surge of 9-4 over their last 13 got started in their victory over the Bulls at home, holding DeRozan to 17 points his last time out. And that was with the Bulls having a near full crew at the time.

I don't doubt that DeRozan will have the ball in his hands frequently as Chicago remains short-handed, but he won't carry a 40.4 percent usage rate again tonight. I'll be sprinting to the book to bet the under here. -- Ben Heisler

Terry Rozier OVER 14.5 Points (-125)

This may be the buy-low spot of the year so far. 

I followed a similar path with this a few weeks ago when WynnBET finally dropped RJ Barrett’s prop number down to 13.5, and they’ve done the same thing with Rozier here. 

Terry missed some time in the league’s health and safety protocols, and he’s gone under this prop in three straight games, shooting 3-for-20 over his last two games. 

However, Rozier averages 16.3 points per game, takes 14.6 shots and 6.9 3-pointers per game and has a usage rate of 22.5 percent this season. The entire Charlotte Hornets teams struggled against the Phoenix Suns’ elite defense on Sunday, shooting just 36.0 percent from the field. 

This is a bounce-back spot for Rozier, and I love that this number has gotten moved below 15 for what should be a high-scoring matchup with the Utah Jazz. -- Peter Dewey

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