Best NBA Prop Bets Today (Jordan Poole Bounce Back, Fade Luka Doncic in Game 1 of Western Conference Finals)

The BetSided team is all in on player props for this NBA season, sharing our favorite and best prop bet picks each day during the year. 

The Western Conference Finals begin between the Golden State Warriors and Dallas Mavericks on Wednesday, and BetSided's Peter Dewey, Donnavan Smoot and Ben Heisler are eyeing some interesting props tonight.

Best NBA Prop Bets Record to Date

• NBA Best Prop Bets Record: 285-236-4 (+14.2786 units)

Here are the plays we are eyeing for tonight’s slate with all odds via WynnBET:

Best NBA Prop Bets Today

• Jordan Poole OVER 16.5 Points (-105)
• Kevon Looney UNDER 7.5 Rebounds (-140)
• Luka Doncic UNDER 51.5 Points, Rebounds and Assists (-120)

Jordan Poole OVER 16.5 Points (-105)

This is getting a little disrespectful to Poole, but I understand. Poole had a terrible last three games of the Golden State Warriors’ second round series against the Memphis Grizzlies. Last series wasn’t a great series for Poole, since the Grizzlies had a lot of lengthy defenders to throw at him. The entire Warriors team wasn’t on top of their offensive game.

This line is an overreaction to a few bad games. Poole has scored 30 in each series opener and is still one of the top offensive options for Golden State. At near plus money, this is my favorite prop of the day. – Donnavan Smoot

Kevon Looney UNDER 7.5 Rebounds (-140)

Looney has averaged just 5.5 rebounds per game over his last 19 games, per Fansure, and that number is largely inflated due to his 22 rebound game in Golden State's 14-point blowout over Memphis in Game 6.

Fansure also points out that Looney has failed to hit this prop in all but two of his last 19; with both coming over the last three matchups.

While Dallas ranks last amongst all remaining playoff teams in opponent defensive rebounds allowed (34.1), I don't see how Looney's inconsistent rotation minutes help him out here. He's also a liability when switched on to Doncic, so his minutes could be even less of a factor as this series begins. -- Ben Heisler

Luka Doncic UNDER 51.5 Points, Rebounds and Assists (-120)

Luka Doncic has been dominant on this playoff run, but I still think oddsmakers are putting his PRA number a little too high. 

In 10 playoff games, Doncic has cleared 51.5 PRA just two times, and one of those games was his 45-point performance against the Phoenix Suns in Game 1 of the Western Conference semifinals. 

Doncic could have a crazy scoring game, but I think the Warriors’ No. 2 defense is up to the task in this matchup. We’ve seen Doncic miss his PRA because of blowouts as well, so don’t be surprised if Golden State gets up big if the Mavs wave the white flag, costing Luka this prop. – Peter Dewey