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Best NBA Prop Bets Today (Jordan Poole Starts Hot, Fade Jaylen Brown in Game 1 of NBA Finals)

By Peter Dewey, Ben Heisler, Donnavan Smoot

Golden State Warriors guard Jordan Poole.
Golden State Warriors guard Jordan Poole. / Thearon W. Henderson/GettyImages
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The BetSided team is all in on player props for this NBA season, sharing our favorite and best prop bet picks each day during the year. 

We have Game 1 of the NBA Finals between the Boston Celtics and Golden State Warriors, and two of our editors are on the same pick!

Best NBA Prop Bets Record to Date

Here are the plays we are eyeing for tonight’s slate with all odds via WynnBET:

Best NBA Prop Bets Today

  • Jordan Poole OVER 15.5 Points (-125)
  • Jaylen Brown UNDER 24.5 Points (-125)

Jordan Poole OVER 15.5 Points (-125)

True or False. Warriors guard Jordan Poole is the most efficient guard in the NBA.

Believe it or not, it's true! Via NBA.com, Poole's true shooting percentage of 67.3% is tops in the league with a usage rate of 20% or higher. With a defense as dynamic as Boston's, Poole can be consistently relied on to take quality shots, as well as get to the free throw line where he's shooting just under 92%.

The Warriors also play at their fastest pace when Poole is on the floor, which offers up even more opportunities for him to grab buckets. With Marcus Smart shadowing Steph Curry all night long, Poole should clear this number for the fourth time in six games. -- Ben Heisler

Jaylen Brown UNDER 24.5 Points (-125)

Speaking of Jaylen Brown, I’m going to fade his points prop in Game 1 with the line at 24.5. 

This is a pretty simple handicap, as Brown has failed to clear 24.5 points in 13 of his 18 playoff games this year, despite averaging 22.9 points per game. 

With Gary Payton II back in the lineup for the Warriors, I think Golden State can make things tough on Brown where he falls just below this number. – Peter Dewey

This is a new stage for Brown and the Celtics and I think Game 1 will take a minute to get adjusted to. 

Brown has only hit this line in five games all postseason (18 games). The Warriors will likely be focused on stopping Tatum first, but Brown will still be on the radar. Brown normally needs a great game from three and high free-throw volume to get to this line. 

The Warriors are going to be disciplined and will be able to throw multiple defenders at Brown – which we know can affect his driving. Expect a tough night for Brown. – Donnavan Smoot

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